Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Lajovic vs Assche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5db28d44f9be616303f50bfce7be343bbb3d2811a20c10c7a91a4afb8abdf1cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Asscheof Lajovic, Assche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Assche | 44c | 6,258$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.99 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lajovic | 55c | 4,698$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Lajovic | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Lajovic | 76c | 396.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Lajovic | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Lajovic | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Assche | 24c | 181.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.89 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Lajovic | 61c | 180.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Lajovic | 56c | 153.82$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Assche | 48c | 145.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Lajovic | 56c | 138.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80f…393fbacked Lajovic | 63c | 132.05$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Assche | 33c | 128.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.41 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Lajovic | 55c | 112.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lajovic | 65c | 104$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Lajovic | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Lajovic | 56c | 73.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Lajovic | 63c | 64.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 854 | 49.6%424 W · 430 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Lajovic | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Lajovic | 52c | 43.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Assche | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Lajovic | 56c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Lajovic | 53c | 31.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Lajovic | 75c | 16.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 266 | 40.6%108 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Lajovic vs Asschethis page
- Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van AsscheLuca Van Assche won
- Lajovic vs. Assche: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Lajovic vs AsscheLajovic won
- Set Handicap: Assche (-1.5) vs Lajovic (+1.5)Lajovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.