Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Assche (-1.5) vs Lajovic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9333f7728a8261629efc4f815f56f7fbcad7a50693af575dc02827a92734ed90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lajovicof Assche, Lajovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59a2…5014backed Lajovic | 69c | 19,967$13,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,176.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Assche | 30c | 5,840$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.06 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Assche | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Assche | 31c | 1,390$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.05 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Assche | 31c | 1,331$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.75 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Assche | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Assche | 30c | 773.01$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.65 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Assche | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Assche | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 313 | 55.3%173 W · 140 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Assche | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.02 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Assche | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Assche | 30c | 333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Assche | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Assche | 31c | 283.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Assche | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Assche | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Assche | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Assche | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Assche | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Assche | 31c | 161$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Assche | 31c | 160.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Lajovic | 66c | 116.42$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 652 | 50.3%328 W · 324 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Assche | 34c | 109.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Assche | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Assche | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…86d9backed Assche | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Assche | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Assche | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 123 | 52%64 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Lajovic | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Assche (-1.5) vs Lajovic (+1.5)this page
- Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van AsscheLuca Van Assche won
- Lajovic vs. Assche: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Lajovic vs AsscheLajovic won
- Set 2 Winner: Lajovic vs AsscheAssche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.