Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Hodzic vs Dart
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01c26163a9f05e17952d8cabb51f6ae6bc7d339b21404a9c64daac874305e703
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hodzicof Hodzic, Dart
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060f…5a9dbacked Dart | 69c | 19,734$13,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,527.69 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hodzic | 25c | 6,251$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,688.45 | 4,510 | 51.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L | +135.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hodzic | 36c | 4,903$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.64 | 4,992 | 38.6%1,927 W · 3,065 L | -19.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hodzic | 37c | 2,144$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.05 | 4,684 | 48.3%2,264 W · 2,420 L | +35.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hodzic | 39c | 1,570$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.46 | 6,649 | 46.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L | -38.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Hodzic | 36c | 1,298$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.9 | 860 | 49.7%427 W · 433 L | +22.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hodzic | 38c | 1,064$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.08 | 5,553 | 48.6%2,700 W · 2,853 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Hodzic | 22c | 504.55$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.55 | 1,788 | 48.8%872 W · 916 L | +31.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Hodzic | 34c | 426$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.16 | 799 | 52.9%423 W · 376 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Hodzic | 24c | 300$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 383 | 46.2%177 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Hodzic | 22c | 231.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.82 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb80f…393fbacked Dart | 54c | 216.93$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Hodzic | 23c | 213.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Hodzic | 25c | 204$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 3,279 | 40.3%1,322 W · 1,957 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Hodzic | 25c | 182$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Hodzic | 25c | 180$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Hodzic | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Hodzic | 25c | 102.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Hodzic | 34c | 65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Hodzic | 39c | 53.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Hodzic | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 569 | 53.8%306 W · 263 L | +20.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Hodzic | 46c | 24.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Hodzic vs Dartthis page
- Athens Open: Mina Hodzic vs Harriet DartHarriet Dart won
- Set 1 Winner: Hodzic vs DartDart won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.