Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Bondar vs Tormo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x433b2b898514fbb215ae58edf78daf32dd80fcaf82be7a524e8b3438408496d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bondarof Bondar, Tormo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060f…5a9dbacked Bondar | 68c | 9,759$6,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.75 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tormo | 31c | 5,186$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.51 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tormo | 29c | 846$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.34 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tormo | 48c | 503.13$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.22 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Tormo | 29c | 489.66$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Tormo | 41c | 453.66$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tormo | 33c | 295.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Tormo | 30c | 270$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 854 | 49.6%424 W · 430 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…d02bbacked Bondar | 39c | 251.85$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.83 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Tormo | 41c | 227.24$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.17 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Tormo | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Tormo | 41c | 172$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tormo | 35c | 153$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Tormo | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Bondar | 36c | 132.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Tormo | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Bondar | 37c | 112.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80f…393fbacked Tormo | 46c | 106.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Tormo | 29c | 101.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…e81bbacked Bondar | 54c | 64.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Bondar | 54c | 51.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Tormo | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Tormo | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Bondar | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Tormo | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 56.1%128 W · 100 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2381…736bbacked Tormo | 79c | 23.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Bondar vs Tormothis page
- Bondar vs. Tormo: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes TormoAnna Bondar won
- Set 1 Winner: Bondar vs TormoBondar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.