MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7605ebe1d24b0d68c7230f3f37e7ed0357a58234c929db77fefef37da44e973e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 53c | 60,613$32,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,488.12 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 26,906$12,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,646 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 5,956$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.32 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 47c | 4,006$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.84 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 77c | 1,563$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 38c | 1,397$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.49 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 47c | 1,365$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.55 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 1,139$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.07 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 51c | 888$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.12 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 26c | 800$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 73c | 658.59$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.7 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 9c | 497.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed Under | 52c | 419.23$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.23 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 392$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.35 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 74c | 391.14$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.26 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 47c | 388$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.13 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 359.78$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 323.04$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.51 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 50c | 307.06$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.53 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 251.82$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.87 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 240.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 48c | 218.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…ffb9backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 24c | 197.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…dc4dbacked Under | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 155.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Under | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…fcdfbacked Under | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 10c | 125.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…1306backed Under | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 18c | 98.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 67c | 90.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 52c | 88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 80.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…5d78backed Under | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 61c | 67.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Over | 46c | 64.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Under | 55c | 54.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 50c | 50.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 46c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Under | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…6d36backed Over | 49c | 40.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 54c | 40.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 53c | 38.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…8d08backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Over | 27c | 38.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 54c | 37.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Under | 63c | 36.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…8be3backed Under | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…5c16backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Under | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…f338backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 52c | 26.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Under | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 53c | 20.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ce…feb1backed Over | 51c | 20.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -8.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Under | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 67c | 15.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles AngelsCleveland Guardians won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.