MLB · resolved market

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcea475b6ac400d542d82a653a52de9de7a406258dd1fef2bb270d8c97d8adf0b

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: San Diego Padresof Arizona Diamondbacks, San Diego Padres
Resolved: Jul 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $648,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $649,954

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $648,479 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres	53c	292,273$155,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136,692.73	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks	50c	181,723$89,981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89,980.96	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69c5…1e01backed San Diego Padres	49c	81,043$40,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,003.13	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks	45c	33,624$15,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,101.11	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	45c	24,997$11,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,186.35	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Arizona Diamondbacks	42c	21,905$9,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,300	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks	42c	18,602$7,856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,855.9	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks	44c	17,675$7,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,777	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed San Diego Padres	56c	16,744$9,439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,304.53	489	52.8%258 W · 231 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks	51c	14,765$7,526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,525.81	613	51.5%316 W · 297 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks	42c	14,050$5,914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,914.23	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	0c	13,115$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.4	147	24.5%36 W · 111 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Arizona Diamondbacks	45c	11,500$5,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,174.98	199	50.3%100 W · 99 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks	31c	8,779$2,734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,733.69	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks	42c	8,768$3,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,682.69	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Arizona Diamondbacks	23c	8,311$1,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,876.07	794	42.4%337 W · 457 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks	46c	8,231$3,784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,783.52	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8201…8a41backed San Diego Padres	75c	7,475$5,615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,859.87	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-5.9wins	-0.14per pick	62cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks	43c	5,977$2,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,570	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks	1c	4,372$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.97	876	2.9%25 W · 851 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks	1c	4,075$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.81	475	4.4%21 W · 454 L	-20.9wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-72.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Arizona Diamondbacks	1c	3,898$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	1,180	7.2%85 W · 1,095 L	-13.6wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed San Diego Padres	45c	3,364$1,514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,849.34	435	54%235 W · 200 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Arizona Diamondbacks	46c	3,281$1,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,509.36	335	54%181 W · 154 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks	44c	2,955$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	192	50%96 W · 96 L	+12.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres	57c	2,954$1,673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,281.12	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed San Diego Padres	58c	2,927$1,697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,229.93	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4722…4fc4backed San Diego Padres	46c	2,629$1,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,419.82	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.8wins	+0.26per pick	38cpaid	+68%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	41c	2,545$1,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,043.47	212	42%89 W · 123 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Arizona Diamondbacks	42c	2,500$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,049.99	246	39%96 W · 150 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked San Diego Padres	57c	2,448$1,395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,052.64	556	53.4%297 W · 259 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	43c	2,419$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029.42	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Arizona Diamondbacks	2c	2,307$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.84	122	44.3%54 W · 68 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Arizona Diamondbacks	1c	2,300$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	585	2.1%12 W · 573 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	43c	2,048$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870.4	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	25c	2,031$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Arizona Diamondbacks	30c	2,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	98	28.6%28 W · 70 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Arizona Diamondbacks	42c	2,000$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5400…8a89backed Arizona Diamondbacks	5c	1,983$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.19	68	1.5%1 W · 67 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-81.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaa5…4859backed Arizona Diamondbacks	52c	1,928$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.73	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Arizona Diamondbacks	52c	1,881$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$977.92	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Arizona Diamondbacks	43c	1,860$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.01	515	45.2%233 W · 282 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	43c	1,860$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.78	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed San Diego Padres	57c	1,807$1,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$777.02	158	51.9%82 W · 76 L	-12.5wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres	57c	1,754$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.39	891	53.5%477 W · 414 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked San Diego Padres	59c	1,700$1,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$697	275	52.4%144 W · 131 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x835c…a5eebacked San Diego Padres	57c	1,700$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$731	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	48c	1,661$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.39	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	43c	1,515$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.81	694	53.6%372 W · 322 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Arizona Diamondbacks	44c	1,339$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589	98	48%47 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks	45c	1,300$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.88	1,075	58.3%627 W · 448 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	43c	1,156$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.75	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Arizona Diamondbacks	43c	1,000$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaff…5cb1backed Arizona Diamondbacks	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Arizona Diamondbacks	41c	999.71$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.08	1,796	43.8%786 W · 1,010 L	-33.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Arizona Diamondbacks	56c	936.21$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.03	694	47.6%330 W · 364 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego Padres	69c	932.58$648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.03	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked San Diego Padres	57c	923.29$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.29	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres	70c	902.5$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.39	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84a3…44dcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	44c	900$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	103	44.7%46 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Arizona Diamondbacks	41c	839.27$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.53	920	46%423 W · 497 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed San Diego Padres	60c	833.33$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.33	262	45.8%120 W · 142 L	-17.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Arizona Diamondbacks	44c	833.33$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.67	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed San Diego Padres	54c	818$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.79	449	53.7%241 W · 208 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks	44c	795$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.65	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Arizona Diamondbacks	19c	757.18$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.68	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks	43c	718.83$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.1	770	53.9%415 W · 355 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres	57c	640$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.2	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7be0…ca40backed San Diego Padres	57c	624.99$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.75	87	75.9%66 W · 21 L	+9.7wins	+0.11per pick	65cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks	42c	613$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.46	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Arizona Diamondbacks	3c	596.86$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.86	404	3.5%14 W · 390 L	-19.4wins	-0.05per pick	8cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks	42c	571$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.82	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked San Diego Padres	55c	567$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.21	826	36.6%302 W · 524 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks	32c	551.25$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.37	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Arizona Diamondbacks	26c	527.65$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.19	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed San Diego Padres	77c	519.48$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.48	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed San Diego Padres	59c	516.62$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.81	562	53.2%299 W · 263 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	52c	506.75$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.51	284	53.9%153 W · 131 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed San Diego Padres	44c	500$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	52c	500$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	283	47.3%134 W · 149 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	18c	500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	367	29.4%108 W · 259 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Arizona Diamondbacks	42c	476.19$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	529	47.4%251 W · 278 L	-24.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00c4…e285backed San Diego Padres	61c	473.29$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.84	65	64.6%42 W · 23 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Arizona Diamondbacks	11c	468.6$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.79	547	15.9%87 W · 460 L	-40.7wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1b5…7e9abacked Arizona Diamondbacks	44c	454.55$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	42c	452$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.84	450	45.8%206 W · 244 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed San Diego Padres	56c	446$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.24	379	44.3%168 W · 211 L	-17.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Arizona Diamondbacks	11c	436.06$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.71	1,043	49%511 W · 532 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	41c	400$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-3.9wins	-0.22per pick	44cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Arizona Diamondbacks	43c	390$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.7	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x342b…6d71backed San Diego Padres	57c	385.53$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.78	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres	55c	383.48$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.7	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks	42c	368$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.56	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ff…e13ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks	22c	363$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.82	124	28.2%35 W · 89 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Arizona Diamondbacks	42c	357.14$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	147	53.7%79 W · 68 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked San Diego Padres	57c	350.88$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.88	143	58%83 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed San Diego Padres	57c	350.88$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.88	221	49.3%109 W · 112 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed San Diego Padres	72c	347$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.45	1,607	53.2%855 W · 752 L	+74.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks	43c	309.99$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.3	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Arizona Diamondbacks	42c	307.75$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.26	589	43.1%254 W · 335 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresthis page
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 14.5Under won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-6.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego PadresYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event