College Football · resolved market
Colorado vs. Utah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3588ea741839f0bd7a08986e1b9791fa4de31fb38fe14b336a699b115973748e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Colorado, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Colorado | 18c | 112,565$20,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,106.39 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Colorado | 17c | 36,885$6,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,207.47 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Colorado | 0c | 15,365$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…8a3dbacked Colorado | 20c | 7,397$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…b587backed Colorado | 18c | 6,075$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Colorado | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Colorado | 16c | 2,895$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.28 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Colorado | 16c | 2,506$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.9 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…c1c4backed Colorado | 1c | 2,247$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Colorado | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Colorado | 11c | 1,500$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.84 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce91…9c9fbacked Colorado | 18c | 1,307$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595f…41afbacked Colorado | 17c | 1,300$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Colorado | 5c | 1,073$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Colorado | 19c | 1,066$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Colorado | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Colorado | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Colorado | 9c | 940$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…d0ebbacked Colorado | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f6…b90cbacked Colorado | 6c | 810.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Colorado | 18c | 579.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Utah | 79c | 450.48$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.74 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Colorado | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe012…d14bbacked Colorado | 19c | 355.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Colorado | 13c | 337.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Colorado | 18c | 280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Colorado | 19c | 274.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Colorado | 18c | 225$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Colorado | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Colorado | 7c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…1311backed Colorado | 16c | 192.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Colorado | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…80f7backed Colorado | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Colorado | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…5db1backed Colorado | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Colorado | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…e855backed Colorado | 17c | 117.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Colorado | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado vs. Utahthis page
- Colorado vs. Utah: O/U 48.5Over won
- Colorado vs. Utah: O/U 49.5Over won
- O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Utah (-13.5)Utah won
- Spread: Utah (-14.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.