Tennis · resolved market
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Eliot Spizzirri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aebca278fb0fd6f5fcc79909b1fc9a641aa934d9cdf8a762e4075ca2ca54891
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spizzirriof Kopriva, Spizzirri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Kopriva | 27c | 13,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spizzirri | 73c | 7,722$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.93 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kopriva | 1c | 4,864$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Spizzirri | 65c | 4,748$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.39 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spizzirri | 48c | 3,156$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.16 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Spizzirri | 60c | 2,799$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.87 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Kopriva | 63c | 2,398$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Spizzirri | 76c | 1,937$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.87 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…cf94backed Spizzirri | 72c | 1,850$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spizzirri | 66c | 1,755$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.17 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffaa…7fd4backed Kopriva | 27c | 1,652$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…04afbacked Spizzirri | 72c | 1,609$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.52 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdb…520fbacked Spizzirri | 72c | 1,408$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…3047backed Spizzirri | 51c | 1,312$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.59 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Kopriva | 55c | 1,270$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Kopriva | 32c | 1,239$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 219 | 59.4%130 W · 89 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Kopriva | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…7a5abacked Kopriva | 28c | 986$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Spizzirri | 59c | 970.37$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.37 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0981…fc82backed Kopriva | 28c | 864$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0d…da12backed Kopriva | 28c | 823$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…36f4backed Kopriva | 28c | 786$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…f7a4backed Kopriva | 28c | 751$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x947f…fb99backed Kopriva | 29c | 699.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -65%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd4…5a43backed Kopriva | 28c | 657$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Spizzirri | 70c | 563.42$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.32 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Kopriva | 28c | 517.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Spizzirri | 71c | 493.07$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.39 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Kopriva | 38c | 403$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.14 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…9fc1backed Spizzirri | 80c | 376.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kopriva | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Kopriva | 29c | 249.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…e1d0backed Kopriva | 51c | 220$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Spizzirri | 72c | 199.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…308abacked Kopriva | 27c | 186.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Spizzirri | 73c | 150.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x647d…3cd9backed Spizzirri | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Kopriva | 27c | 149.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…b24ebacked Kopriva | 44c | 137.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Spizzirri | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Spizzirri | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Spizzirri | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Kopriva | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec3…d1c7backed Spizzirri | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Kopriva | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…1952backed Spizzirri | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…c2d9backed Kopriva | 49c | 99.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Kopriva | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kopriva | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Spizzirri | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…85b8backed Kopriva | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4f…3ae6backed Kopriva | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Spizzirri | 71c | 56.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Kopriva | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x444f…0d49backed Spizzirri | 78c | 52.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8c…1d62backed Spizzirri | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9f…4cc8backed Kopriva | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Spizzirri | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Kopriva | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed Kopriva | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96c…3c52backed Spizzirri | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876c…7d86backed Spizzirri | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 74cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…f618backed Spizzirri | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…121bbacked Spizzirri | 72c | 15.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.