Earnings · resolved market
Will Hess Midstream (HESM) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc0a5726fc98dc4c2b8ff6b7849d2c0125f77f4c79695d272542fa247fcc75d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c56…f60cbacked Yes | 74c | 3,094$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 22c | 2,625$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.84 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked No | 30c | 1,248$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.5 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 76c | 1,178$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 27c | 674.53$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.51 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 24c | 503.93$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.44 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 74c | 462.89$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…9a10backed No | 5c | 450$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67df…772fbacked Yes | 74c | 449.81$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 375.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 30c | 297.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 24c | 271.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…13b7backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed Yes | 66c | 250$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 31c | 243.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 35c | 228.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.71 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked No | 28c | 201.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 73c | 201$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked No | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked Yes | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…a303backed Yes | 76c | 184.43$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 72c | 167.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8598…199fbacked No | 30c | 166.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e58…aebebacked Yes | 64c | 151$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…e5eebacked Yes | 67c | 149.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 69c | 145.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 70c | 139.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…fcd8backed Yes | 77c | 131.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…ec38backed Yes | 77c | 131.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…1f3fbacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a58…a249backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 67c | 119.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…e72bbacked Yes | 76c | 106.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 70cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 80c | 103.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed No | 21c | 95.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 25c | 90.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…0e8cbacked Yes | 74c | 80.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c8…8278backed Yes | 77c | 77.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…3695backed Yes | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked No | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…2e68backed Yes | 74c | 67.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0c…6b78backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…9e17backed Yes | 76c | 62.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…9306backed Yes | 76c | 62.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 32c | 58.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e2…f856backed Yes | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 63cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x905a…75dabacked Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e4…7413backed Yes | 77c | 49.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 79cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…4547backed Yes | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 26c | 45.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…1854backed Yes | 69c | 40.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…c788backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c7…b4dfbacked Yes | 69c | 34.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…9e4ebacked Yes | 71c | 34.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…7019backed No | 36c | 30.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…f72fbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fd…3b7bbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…e91ebacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3029…0ab1backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…ba4ebacked Yes | 72c | 27.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9e…154abacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bd…2d4fbacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116e…aca6backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a20…da45backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked Yes | 77c | 26.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…f8a1backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce88…7423backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a5…c4cabacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 66c | 24.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ce…b432backed Yes | 69c | 24.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…d8cdbacked Yes | 71c | 22.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d9…8169backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 74c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe380…654abacked Yes | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1b…486dbacked Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7c…6dddbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…4260backed Yes | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.