Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Colton Smith vs Sho Shimabukuro

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac73159184df5218bc168ef1153e374bd7786ed26f4e224354e765695f849724

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Sho Shimabukuroof Colton Smith, Sho Shimabukuro
Resolved: Mar 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $56,449
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,449 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Sho Shimabukuro	59c	5,939$3,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,445.83	2,865	44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Colton Smith	38c	5,218$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.45	488	51.6%252 W · 236 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Sho Shimabukuro	63c	4,665$2,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,742.42	813	49.1%399 W · 414 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Colton Smith	41c	4,665$1,921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920.64	1,125	42.8%482 W · 643 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Colton Smith	54c	3,928$2,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,121.12	1,410	38.4%542 W · 868 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Colton Smith	12c	3,091$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.43	2,426	47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Colton Smith	16c	1,900$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	284	44.7%127 W · 157 L	+13.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Colton Smith	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,130	27.9%315 W · 815 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Sho Shimabukuro	48c	1,235$593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$642	943	55.7%525 W · 418 L	+22.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Sho Shimabukuro	50c	1,234$614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$619.68	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Sho Shimabukuro	48c	1,181$571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$609.82	381	33.9%129 W · 252 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Sho Shimabukuro	48c	1,146$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.92	1,161	37.6%437 W · 724 L	-27.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Colton Smith	42c	1,083$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.3	3,072	44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L	-30.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Sho Shimabukuro	51c	918.03$466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.36	1,980	46.2%915 W · 1,065 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Sho Shimabukuro	51c	868.14$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427.59	1,284	39.2%503 W · 781 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Colton Smith	2c	828$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.97	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7db…ee3ebacked Colton Smith	53c	727.94$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.81	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Sho Shimabukuro	41c	690$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.12	252	34.1%86 W · 166 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Sho Shimabukuro	64c	666.7$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.44	2,982	39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Sho Shimabukuro	49c	609.99$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.1	234	54.7%128 W · 106 L	+10.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colton Smith	32c	574.47$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.68	8,241	45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L	+166.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Colton Smith	49c	573.08$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.77	1,265	29.2%370 W · 895 L	-13.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Sho Shimabukuro	63c	566.33$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.28	4,288	40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L	-139.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f90…a473backed Colton Smith	52c	537$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.24	127	55.9%71 W · 56 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf97…e6e6backed Colton Smith	52c	472$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.44	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Colton Smith	18c	459.41$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.6	120	32.5%39 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Colton Smith	50c	458.64$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.05	407	44%179 W · 228 L	-14.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Colton Smith	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Colton Smith	43c	433.26$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.22	129	52.7%68 W · 61 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Colton Smith	53c	420.15$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.32	6,792	36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L	-98.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Colton Smith	25c	418.33$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.7	139	23.7%33 W · 106 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sho Shimabukuro	47c	375.59$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.5	1,809	43.8%793 W · 1,016 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Colton Smith	56c	363$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.71	737	45.2%333 W · 404 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Colton Smith	59c	359$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.8	990	44.8%444 W · 546 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Colton Smith	52c	348$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.55	970	46.6%452 W · 518 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colton Smith	19c	345.48$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.18	7,968	50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L	+92.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Colton Smith	27c	300$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	253	55.7%141 W · 112 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Colton Smith	49c	297$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.53	200	43.5%87 W · 113 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Colton Smith	51c	263.65$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.51	2,776	53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L	+69.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Sho Shimabukuro	63c	263.55$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.55	2,150	54.1%1,164 W · 986 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Colton Smith	50c	261$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.32	373	42.6%159 W · 214 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Colton Smith	42c	243.05$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	678	36%244 W · 434 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Sho Shimabukuro	49c	242$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.42	1,414	41.1%581 W · 833 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Colton Smith	38c	239.84$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.05	2,537	53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L	+61.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Colton Smith	53c	237$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.82	347	44.4%154 W · 193 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Colton Smith	49c	220.41$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	475	52.4%249 W · 226 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Colton Smith	52c	208.33$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.33	420	46.9%197 W · 223 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Colton Smith	51c	207.81$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.97	255	46.3%118 W · 137 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Colton Smith	17c	200.69$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	444	29.7%132 W · 312 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Colton Smith	59c	200$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.88	587	53.7%315 W · 272 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Colton Smith	51c	197.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	652	50.3%328 W · 324 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Sho Shimabukuro	66c	194.41$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.17	6,840	48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L	+58.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Colton Smith	52c	182$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.46	1,008	46%464 W · 544 L	-19.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9965…c703backed Colton Smith	41c	174.43$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.12	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-3.1wins	-0.28per pick	47cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Colton Smith	53c	167.15$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.51	556	41.2%229 W · 327 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x967f…ea8abacked Colton Smith	30c	166.83$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.05	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Sho Shimabukuro	48c	157.48$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.05	145	41.4%60 W · 85 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sho Shimabukuro	49c	149.98$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.49	3,884	35%1,358 W · 2,526 L	+92.8wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Colton Smith	35c	142.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	683	50.1%342 W · 341 L	-25.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c35…572abacked Sho Shimabukuro	80c	140.83$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.17	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Colton Smith	52c	134.62$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	958	46.6%446 W · 512 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Colton Smith	52c	134.62$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	260	50.4%131 W · 129 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb9ff…5e00backed Sho Shimabukuro	48c	129.23$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.03	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc63d…a59bbacked Sho Shimabukuro	51c	120$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe81b…ae69backed Colton Smith	44c	113.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-4.2wins	-0.11per pick	59cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Sho Shimabukuro	44c	111$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.66	3,901	50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L	-13.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Sho Shimabukuro	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	510	52%265 W · 245 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Sho Shimabukuro	53c	101.34$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.63	359	44.8%161 W · 198 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Sho Shimabukuro	77c	100$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	692	49.6%343 W · 349 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Colton Smith	50c	99.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	353	44.8%158 W · 195 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Colton Smith	51c	94.08$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.53	7,183	49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L	+112.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed Sho Shimabukuro	50c	89.74$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.87	242	49.2%119 W · 123 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Colton Smith	49c	76.06$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.27	326	49.1%160 W · 166 L	-18.4wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bcf…ef2fbacked Sho Shimabukuro	70c	71.41$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.42	97	55.7%54 W · 43 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba8…90a3backed Colton Smith	52c	70$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.05	492	52.4%258 W · 234 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Colton Smith	33c	67$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.11	976	44.6%435 W · 541 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Colton Smith	51c	65.08$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.19	153	43.8%67 W · 86 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37f1…19a0backed Colton Smith	32c	62.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	517	36.9%191 W · 326 L	-39.1wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Colton Smith	49c	60.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.69	1,768	43.2%764 W · 1,004 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Sho Shimabukuro	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	2,339	46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L	+55.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Colton Smith	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.54	94	50%47 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Colton Smith	52c	59.5$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.99	308	60.1%185 W · 123 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Sho Shimabukuro	71c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.3	355	59.4%211 W · 144 L	-10.8wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Sho Shimabukuro	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	146	39%57 W · 89 L	-14.5wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Sho Shimabukuro	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	491	42.8%210 W · 281 L	-15.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa74d…734cbacked Sho Shimabukuro	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	284	62.3%177 W · 107 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Colton Smith	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	884	46.8%414 W · 470 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Colton Smith	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	218	47.2%103 W · 115 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Colton Smith	44c	45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	900	64.3%579 W · 321 L	+12.0wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Colton Smith	36c	45$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	11,666	43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L	+22.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Colton Smith	24c	44$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	1,852	44.5%825 W · 1,027 L	-20.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Sho Shimabukuro	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	903	40.2%363 W · 540 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xece0…1754backed Sho Shimabukuro	67c	38.66$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.73	91	49.5%45 W · 46 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Colton Smith	38c	35$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	1,870	16%299 W · 1,571 L	-314.3wins	-0.17per pick	33cpaid	-65.6%equal weight	32-0.17 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Colton Smith	49c	35$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	222	58.1%129 W · 93 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Sho Shimabukuro	58c	31.89$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.54	619	53.3%330 W · 289 L	+18.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Colton Smith	43c	31.49$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.54	290	63.8%185 W · 105 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Colton Smith	48c	31.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Sho Shimabukuro	52c	29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.92	770	47.9%369 W · 401 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Sho Shimabukuro	63c	28.89$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.65	127	65.4%83 W · 44 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Colton Smith vs Sho Shimabukurothis page
Set 1 Winner: Smith vs ShimabukuroShimabukuro won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Colton Smith vs Sho Shimabukuro

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event