Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arizona Wildcats vs. TCU Horned Frogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1e7b0a0c235592afe31526f710a5d069a230444374eddf361b42070ddd70dea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Wildcatsof Arizona Wildcats, TCU Horned Frogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 9c | 5,507$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.31 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Arizona Wildcats | 75c | 3,872$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.8 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 27c | 3,027$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.22 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona Wildcats | 74c | 2,031$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.77 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed TCU Horned Frogs | 27c | 1,335$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Arizona Wildcats | 73c | 1,284$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed TCU Horned Frogs | 26c | 1,175$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.46 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 1,050$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.26 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 23c | 978.38$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.03 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e19…1b40backed TCU Horned Frogs | 17c | 952.41$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked TCU Horned Frogs | 24c | 846$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.04 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Arizona Wildcats | 77c | 658.43$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.91 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Arizona Wildcats | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Arizona Wildcats | 76c | 397.57$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.44 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…e9f8backed TCU Horned Frogs | 5c | 309.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 22c | 247$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 23c | 227.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 25c | 224.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed TCU Horned Frogs | 7c | 219.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Arizona Wildcats | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f7…3d6abacked Arizona Wildcats | 74c | 196$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Arizona Wildcats | 76c | 151$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed TCU Horned Frogs | 27c | 111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 27c | 101$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Arizona Wildcats | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed TCU Horned Frogs | 26c | 96.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arizona Wildcats | 73c | 65.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Arizona Wildcats | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Arizona Wildcats | 73c | 50.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…f7a7backed Arizona Wildcats | 74c | 40.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Arizona Wildcats | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc7…b89bbacked Arizona Wildcats | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed Arizona Wildcats | 76c | 26.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Arizona Wildcats | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Arizona Wildcats | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Wildcats vs. TCU Horned Frogsthis page
- Arizona Wildcats vs. TCU Horned Frogs: O/U 152.5Over won
- Arizona Wildcats vs. TCU Horned Frogs: O/U 153.5Over won
- Arizona Wildcats vs. TCU Horned Frogs: O/U 154.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)Arizona Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.