NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64cd478babdf3f3f160b685fe8573fabdbc4b8a1037bcd0b31a16013507d7abe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof 76ers, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Hawks | 50c | 5,962$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.4 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 50c | 3,209$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed 76ers | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…6953backed 76ers | 52c | 1,031$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed 76ers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks | 48c | 842.56$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.13 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98da…a9ebbacked Hawks | 53c | 566.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.89 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…f1aabacked 76ers | 49c | 514.29$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed 76ers | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…06c2backed Hawks | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3598backed Hawks | 54c | 113.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Hawks | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…86a5backed 76ers | 52c | 92.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed 76ers | 46c | 87.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc7…b89bbacked Hawks | 54c | 87.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Hawks | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Hawks | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked 76ers | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a7…3ec1backed Hawks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9365…1389backed Hawks | 50c | 37.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 76ers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)this page
- Hawks vs. 76ersHawks won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.