Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado State Rams vs. Virginia Tech Hokies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3290e9fafb9f768190ece8182bbdf3ad75fab212fc82233647bcbc9c7b9110e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginia Tech Hokiesof Colorado State Rams, Virginia Tech Hokies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Colorado State Rams | 20c | 5,069$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 68c | 4,732$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.38 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Colorado State Rams | 18c | 3,596$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.07 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Colorado State Rams | 35c | 799.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado State Rams | 20c | 706.05$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.75 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Colorado State Rams | 32c | 677.79$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.44 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Colorado State Rams | 22c | 662.66$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.03 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Colorado State Rams | 32c | 622$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.11 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Colorado State Rams | 32c | 497$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.04 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colorado State Rams | 16c | 464.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Colorado State Rams | 14c | 422.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 75c | 331$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.21 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Colorado State Rams | 34c | 280$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Colorado State Rams | 30c | 277.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Colorado State Rams | 35c | 277$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Colorado State Rams | 35c | 225$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Colorado State Rams | 34c | 167$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Colorado State Rams | 35c | 165$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 73c | 163.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Colorado State Rams | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Colorado State Rams | 16c | 135.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Colorado State Rams | 21c | 124$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Colorado State Rams | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +19.3wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…7572backed Colorado State Rams | 24c | 114.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…4908backed Colorado State Rams | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +418.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Colorado State Rams | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Colorado State Rams | 32c | 98.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Colorado State Rams | 16c | 95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Colorado State Rams | 32c | 78.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Colorado State Rams | 31c | 69.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…ec75backed Colorado State Rams | 21c | 57.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9452…b685backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 68c | 57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Colorado State Rams | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc7…b89bbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 70c | 48.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…88dfbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e4…e94bbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2601…5d06backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…f06abacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado State Rams vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesthis page
- Colorado State Rams vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 152.5Under won
- Colorado State Rams vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 153.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.