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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

St. John's Red Storm vs. Auburn Tigers

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Auburn Tigersof St. John's Red Storm, Auburn Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,319
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,319 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed St. John's Red Storm58c57,982$33,630 inLost-$33,629.5669142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Auburn Tigers42c52,776$22,166 inWon+$30,610.2511662.1%72 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Auburn Tigers31c6,463$1,973 inWon+$4,489.5512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed St. John's Red Storm66c3,772$2,500 inLost-$2,5001637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Auburn Tigers34c3,000$1,020 inWon+$1,9805944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Auburn Tigers55c2,711$1,484 inWon+$1,227.225,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed St. John's Red Storm57c2,280$1,305 inLost-$1,305.191,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed St. John's Red Storm70c2,242$1,566 inLost-$1,565.572,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Auburn Tigers35c2,000$700 inWon+$1,30022645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed St. John's Red Storm38c1,644$624 inLost-$623.6155657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Auburn Tigers31c724$223 inWon+$500.894,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Auburn Tigers28c516$144 inWon+$371.521,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed St. John's Red Storm62c440.1$275 inLost-$274.943,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed St. John's Red Storm68c405.53$276 inLost-$275.7611439.5%45 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked St. John's Red Storm62c400$249 inLost-$249.335137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Auburn Tigers33c245$81 inWon+$164.1532337.2%120 W · 203 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Auburn Tigers34c235$80 inWon+$155.165825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Auburn Tigers23c230.83$54 inWon+$177.192,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Auburn Tigers30c200$60 inWon+$1404845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Auburn Tigers21c200$42 inWon+$158.1325254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed St. John's Red Storm65c199.99$130 inLost-$130633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed St. John's Red Storm67c174.9$118 inLost-$117.955,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Auburn Tigers24c150$36 inWon+$114.52,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Auburn Tigers46c130$60 inWon+$70.155662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Auburn Tigers43c123$52 inWon+$70.5811136%40 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Auburn Tigers30c120$35 inWon+$84.664322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Auburn Tigers34c100$34 inWon+$66.337626.3%20 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Auburn Tigers15c99.18$15 inWon+$84.31,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Auburn Tigers34c88$30 inWon+$58.0834947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Auburn Tigers34c70$24 inWon+$46.241554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc7…b89bbacked St. John's Red Storm68c69.13$47 inLost-$47966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb84…81b2backed St. John's Red Storm59c67.61$40 inLost-$401060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Auburn Tigers34c64$22 inWon+$42.4424432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed St. John's Red Storm37c39$15 inLost-$14.577660.5%46 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9452…b685backed Auburn Tigers33c33.19$11 inWon+$22.352040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda20…0cbebacked St. John's Red Storm58c31$18 inLost-$17.91837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked St. John's Red Storm66c17.66$12 inLost-$11.661,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.