College Football · resolved market
Tennessee vs. Mississippi State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aa6788e40168d0087f978a0caab2f2a0934d43a2194989e4f940f81ee7fca9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennesseeof Tennessee, Mississippi State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mississippi State | 47c | 13,927$6,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,484.15 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Mississippi State | 29c | 8,148$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.77 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Tennessee | 73c | 6,809$4,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.38 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Tennessee | 70c | 6,618$4,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mississippi State | 27c | 6,408$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.24 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mississippi State | 27c | 3,691$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.54 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mississippi State | 56c | 3,195$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.11 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…1dc2backed Tennessee | 73c | 2,794$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tennessee | 61c | 2,694$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.34 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Mississippi State | 38c | 1,862$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.59 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Tennessee | 42c | 1,318$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.44 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Mississippi State | 36c | 1,305$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.12 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mississippi State | 29c | 1,267$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.43 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mississippi State | 33c | 1,235$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.2 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mississippi State | 33c | 1,193$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.1 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mississippi State | 48c | 1,160$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.77 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Tennessee | 62c | 1,042$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.87 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Tennessee | 42c | 934.72$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.21 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Mississippi State | 28c | 890$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.2 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mississippi State | 29c | 889.78$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.38 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tennessee | 67c | 831.65$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.21 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Mississippi State | 28c | 768$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.04 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Tennessee | 71c | 688.78$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.75 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Tennessee | 62c | 643.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.32 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Tennessee | 72c | 605.5$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.54 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5441…da3bbacked Tennessee | 73c | 474.63$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Tennessee | 65c | 459.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.61 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tennessee | 62c | 402.61$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.23 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Mississippi State | 30c | 393.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Mississippi State | 29c | 373$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.13 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Tennessee | 72c | 365$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Tennessee | 74c | 297.3$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Tennessee | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Tennessee | 60c | 252.58$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…4d6ebacked Tennessee | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Mississippi State | 39c | 240$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…a240backed Mississippi State | 45c | 222.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Tennessee | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mississippi State | 27c | 190$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Mississippi State | 27c | 187.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Tennessee | 73c | 164.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Mississippi State | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Tennessee | 72c | 139.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2626…93abbacked Tennessee | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mississippi State | 9c | 138.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…b41fbacked Mississippi State | 29c | 137.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…ce1cbacked Tennessee | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Tennessee | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90dc…5ba6backed Mississippi State | 53c | 132.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…9dc3backed Mississippi State | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…e6fdbacked Mississippi State | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b19…3a33backed Tennessee | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Tennessee | 54c | 93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed Tennessee | 54c | 93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Mississippi State | 26c | 72.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Tennessee | 73c | 68.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Mississippi State | 28c | 65.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Tennessee | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Mississippi State | 28c | 61.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…73e2backed Tennessee | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79e6…8336backed Tennessee | 74c | 47.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…b42fbacked Tennessee | 74c | 45.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Tennessee | 56c | 44.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…952bbacked Tennessee | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…ed94backed Tennessee | 41c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +35%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mississippi State | 27c | 37.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…c347backed Tennessee | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Mississippi State | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Tennessee | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…a3b6backed Tennessee | 80c | 26.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de6…05a6backed Tennessee | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed9…906abacked Tennessee | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Tennessee | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tennessee vs. Mississippi Statethis page
- O/U 62.5Over won
- Spread: Tennessee (-7.5)Mississippi State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.