Tennis · resolved market
Milan: Raul Brancaccio vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x648061d45265180174f472715f9de939d6b14fef6088eb57f7bbe2164b66e631
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raul Brancaccioof Raul Brancaccio, Nikoloz Basilashvili
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Raul Brancaccio | 62c | 1,255$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.57 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 34c | 578.86$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 36c | 576$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.47 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 22c | 460.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Raul Brancaccio | 68c | 379.95$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.32 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 67c | 363.01$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.22 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…3f90backed Raul Brancaccio | 74c | 270.45$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 37c | 251.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.18 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raul Brancaccio | 56c | 246.1$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.78 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 39c | 209.64$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Raul Brancaccio | 33c | 199.95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.96 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 34c | 182.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Raul Brancaccio | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 67c | 174.57$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.96 | 591 | 57.7%341 W · 250 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 68c | 147.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Raul Brancaccio | 32c | 147.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…82ebbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Raul Brancaccio | 33c | 117.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.83 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Raul Brancaccio | 75c | 109.9$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Raul Brancaccio | 79c | 106.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Raul Brancaccio | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 27c | 82.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 67c | 73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 627 | 52%326 W · 301 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Raul Brancaccio | 79c | 67.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Raul Brancaccio | 65c | 62.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Raul Brancaccio | 56c | 60.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Raul Brancaccio | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 28c | 59.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Raul Brancaccio | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Raul Brancaccio | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Raul Brancaccio | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Raul Brancaccio | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Raul Brancaccio | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 67c | 43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 49c | 41.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Raul Brancaccio | 42c | 33.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…bfa7backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 282 | 65.6%185 W · 97 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Raul Brancaccio | 42c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…6684backed Raul Brancaccio | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 60c | 22.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 443 | 63.4%281 W · 162 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 207 | 71%147 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.