MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b59f34181f6115aae55fc5c6b13e0125821d5cb32bfdea250212fabd3e27abd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof Samsung Lions, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed LG Twins | 53c | 2,796$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.98 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 47c | 2,280$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.83 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed LG Twins | 52c | 962.02$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.02 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Samsung Lions | 47c | 795.69$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.74 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 59c | 502.9$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.72 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Samsung Lions | 37c | 417.58$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.75 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Samsung Lions | 48c | 417.47$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.55 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 47c | 408.87$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.71 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 304$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.52 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 296.81$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 285.7$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.42 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed LG Twins | 52c | 265.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.67 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked LG Twins | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Samsung Lions | 23c | 216$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked LG Twins | 50c | 199.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.83 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 196.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked LG Twins | 56c | 150.76$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed LG Twins | 55c | 146.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…eb2dbacked LG Twins | 76c | 131.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235f…9225backed LG Twins | 55c | 123.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Samsung Lions | 43c | 117.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed LG Twins | 51c | 107$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…d779backed Samsung Lions | 25c | 104.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…95a2backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…6358backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 94.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd122…5a81backed LG Twins | 57c | 86.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked LG Twins | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Samsung Lions | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked LG Twins | 31c | 63.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Samsung Lions | 47c | 62.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed LG Twins | 51c | 59.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…e6c6backed LG Twins | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked LG Twins | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed LG Twins | 52c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…5bc2backed Samsung Lions | 33c | 53.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Samsung Lions | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed LG Twins | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Samsung Lions | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed LG Twins | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked LG Twins | 59c | 33.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked LG Twins | 51c | 30.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed LG Twins | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LG Twins | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked LG Twins | 76c | 27.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked LG Twins | 76c | 27.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2b…d84cbacked LG Twins | 50c | 25.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ec…255ebacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 25.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3648…fd2cbacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…1083backed LG Twins | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 22.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…dbcfbacked LG Twins | 50c | 22.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…4ea2backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 22.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…c907backed LG Twins | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f87…0d97backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…105cbacked LG Twins | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.