Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1db1c51c5003343b75a2836018331a745cd14c8045b9310a6febfd2f089441a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gwangju FCof Ulsan HD FC, Gwangju FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gwangju FC | 63c | 4,721$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Ulsan HD FC | 39c | 1,762$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.34 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Ulsan HD FC | 39c | 1,088$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.2 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Ulsan HD FC | 36c | 842.48$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.29 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Ulsan HD FC | 25c | 757$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.25 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Ulsan HD FC | 40c | 752$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Ulsan HD FC | 5c | 689.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…f420backed Ulsan HD FC | 46c | 634.97$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.09 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…a9dabacked Gwangju FC | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Gwangju FC | 54c | 274.67$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Gwangju FC | 54c | 194.51$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…6137backed Ulsan HD FC | 39c | 175$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Gwangju FC | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Gwangju FC | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Gwangju FC | 64c | 156.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235f…9225backed Ulsan HD FC | 34c | 123.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Ulsan HD FC | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Gwangju FC | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Ulsan HD FC | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Gwangju FC | 61c | 75.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Gwangju FC | 61c | 61.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Ulsan HD FC | 40c | 61.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Ulsan HD FC | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Gwangju FC | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Gwangju FC | 66c | 44.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Ulsan HD FC | 39c | 34.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Gwangju FC | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1f…7b4bbacked Gwangju FC | 62c | 21.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)this page
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Gwangju FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Gwangju FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Ulsan HD FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Ulsan HD FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Ulsan HD FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-2.5)Gwangju FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.