Asian League · resolved market
Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16b9707a15106cc3768e55b8c4731c3b9b3753db7261f1ed4ca4785d7f579cc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 68c | 6,972$4,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 32c | 6,125$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.03 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 23c | 5,439$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.58 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 4,217$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.31 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…f90abacked Over | 50c | 1,992$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 50c | 1,746$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.78 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d02…0732backed Under | 67c | 1,415$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 76c | 872.25$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.16 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 808.8$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.4 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 50c | 661.81$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.91 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed Over | 23c | 499.95$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 50c | 439.74$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.78 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 78c | 425.44$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 382.61$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…a9dabacked Over | 50c | 299.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.89 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Over | 50c | 277.1$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 50c | 253.9$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.95 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 252.38$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.67 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 61c | 236.73$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…2d11backed Over | 40c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4e…c662backed Under | 51c | 199.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 50c | 190.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.29 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d5…53bfbacked Over | 50c | 99.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 61c | 88.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 77.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 50c | 77.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb6…f3fabacked Over | 51c | 76.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 61c | 60.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Under | 51c | 59.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 51c | 56.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 49c | 47.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 34c | 45.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d9…3146backed Under | 66c | 44.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 49c | 40.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 50c | 35.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 50c | 33.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 50c | 27.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Over | 50c | 26.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 61cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…2d60backed Under | 50c | 21.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Over | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 77c | 18.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 77c | 17.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…f504backed Under | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Gwangju FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Gwangju FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Ulsan HD FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Ulsan HD FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Ulsan HD FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-2.5)Gwangju FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.