MLB · resolved market

Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x864324713766812d609e2373c754abbd412219e955e25c7c0b70fb67f6a2298e

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $181,318
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $181,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,318 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under	48c	99,999$48,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,999.52	1,414	49.5%700 W · 714 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	52c	99,199$51,583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47,616.32	4,368	47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L	-79.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	44c	28,330$12,347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,983.04	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	52c	23,364$12,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,149.36	216	50.5%109 W · 107 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe55a…ecf7backed Over	54c	16,334$8,817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,516.88	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Under	67c	11,618$7,755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,755.33	97	66%64 W · 33 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	46c	7,176$3,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,270.27	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	41c	3,551$1,462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,089.51	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	46c	3,523$1,621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620.79	1,586	48.5%770 W · 816 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under	46c	3,368$1,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,551.75	1,386	50.6%702 W · 684 L	-23.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over	53c	3,006$1,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,412.8	477	45.7%218 W · 259 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under	46c	2,810$1,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,292.51	192	48.4%93 W · 99 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	46c	2,801$1,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,291.79	2,310	52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L	+27.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,199.99	454	51.3%233 W · 221 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd403…a817backed Under	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	4cpaid	+376.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	47c	1,614$758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$757.69	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under	47c	1,448$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.56	736	50.7%373 W · 363 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	56c	1,264$706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.1	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over	54c	1,257$679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$577.89	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	73c	1,111$811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	52c	1,009$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.42	1,635	49.3%806 W · 829 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under	46c	874.04$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.06	187	41.2%77 W · 110 L	-11.2wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	47c	843.22$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.64	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over	54c	833.92$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.03	384	53.6%206 W · 178 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over	54c	825.33$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.06	878	50.5%443 W · 435 L	+12.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over	56c	807.23$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.89	570	53.3%304 W · 266 L	+14.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under	24c	792.38$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.38	3,041	48%1,461 W · 1,580 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under	46c	747.8$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.78	1,848	49.6%917 W · 931 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Under	46c	639.75$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.29	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over	36c	602.86$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.16	1,797	50.4%906 W · 891 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Under	48c	600$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-5.9wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	46c	442.5$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.48	2,329	49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L	+41.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under	45c	423.27$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.47	274	47.8%131 W · 143 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over	55c	400$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	102	51%52 W · 50 L	-5.8wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over	54c	399.99$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182	240	59.2%142 W · 98 L	+18.3wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over	54c	300$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138	1,219	53.9%657 W · 562 L	+32.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked Under	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Under	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-5.7wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-29%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	707	37.6%266 W · 441 L	+24.5wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf04b…049abacked Under	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-6.4wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Under	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-5.2wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	52c	199.99$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over	53c	192.61$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.53	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under	52c	181.82$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.81	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-5.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	350	54.6%191 W · 159 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under	47c	177.13$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	448	45.8%205 W · 243 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under	47c	170.21$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	1,201	49.1%590 W · 611 L	+20.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under	46c	165.22$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	575	51.7%297 W · 278 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Under	48c	162.5$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	516	46.9%242 W · 274 L	-21.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over	52c	154.51$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.16	475	52%247 W · 228 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	49c	150$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.5	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over	50c	144.17$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.92	1,176	43.8%515 W · 661 L	-33.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea53…e1ebbacked Under	58c	138.02$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Under	48c	125$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-4.7wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Under	47c	113.89$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.53	206	54.4%112 W · 94 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Under	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	150	44.7%67 W · 83 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Under	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	151	47.7%72 W · 79 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Under	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	114	41.2%47 W · 67 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Under	48c	102.04$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.98	146	45.9%67 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed Under	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Over	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	551	46.8%258 W · 293 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Over	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under	53c	94.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,212	50%606 W · 606 L	+5.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	46c	89.25$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.06	1,828	54.1%989 W · 839 L	+24.9wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over	37c	89$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.07	532	38.5%205 W · 327 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over	51c	88.24$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.24	475	49.7%236 W · 239 L	+17.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over	51c	88.24$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.24	549	51.2%281 W · 268 L	+29.7wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f48…a145backed Over	54c	87.71$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.35	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	53c	86.2$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.51	3,841	42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce09…4fdcbacked Under	48c	83.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c96…0a39backed Over	53c	75.47$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.47	161	53.4%86 W · 75 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Under	48c	70.9$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.03	399	53.6%214 W · 185 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under	48c	70.9$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.03	390	51.5%201 W · 189 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Under	47c	70.81$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.28	212	52.4%111 W · 101 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Under	48c	70$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.41	126	46.8%59 W · 67 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d5…573bbacked Under	46c	65.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over	80c	62.64$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.53	2,172	39.9%866 W · 1,306 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over	74c	61.34$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.95	256	55.1%141 W · 115 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1872…1962backed Under	48c	57$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.36	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Over	74c	52.56$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.67	49	75.5%37 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	71cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd6…cfdebacked Under	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-5.3wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	46c	49.43$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.56	2,995	47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L	+12.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Over	56c	44.64$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.64	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under	47c	42.2$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.03	477	52.8%252 W · 225 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Over	54c	42$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.32	226	52.2%118 W · 108 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d5…ab77backed Under	48c	41.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Over	56c	41.23$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	313	54.6%171 W · 142 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under	47c	41.15$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.19	895	48.3%432 W · 463 L	+8.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x232f…8002backed Under	48c	40.83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-5.4wins	-0.18per pick	45cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Under	48c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-4.2wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1fd…9994backed Under	48c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-5.6wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc915…2b84backed Under	48c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-4.9wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6509…2dc5backed Over	53c	37.93$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.83	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	46c	37.57$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.32	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d50…26d1backed Under	48c	37.18$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.85	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	48	33.3%16 W · 32 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x003f…3805backed Under	43c	35.58$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	64	43.8%28 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed Over	54c	33.16$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.15	75	65.3%49 W · 26 L	+10.1wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	53c	32.47$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.26	2,413	49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L	+22.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5this page
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates won
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Over won
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Boston Red Sox won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event