TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,091
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,154

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,091 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under50c90,978$45,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,488.81,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over50c19,026$9,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,5134,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c10,515$5,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,266.2211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Under51c9,609$4,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,906.0979442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over50c7,991$4,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,979.063,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over50c7,800$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,90023538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c7,268$3,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,633.751,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Over50c6,666$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3333231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0006,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over50c5,200$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60045748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under49c4,122$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.521,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c4,000$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.76,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over50c3,072$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.791,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over50c2,914$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.0173949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over50c2,914$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.0179255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under44c2,713$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.762,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c2,041$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.5912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00044451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over52c1,974$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.182,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over50c1,943$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.9345252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c1,400$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6965,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c1,210$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.578,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60028753.3%153 W · 134 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec95…a2dcbacked Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6005451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under49c1,126$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.742,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over53c1,060$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.338,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under49c1,031$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.181,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under49c1,021$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2968053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Over50c1,020$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5109642.7%41 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50045445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over50c972.04$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.021,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over50c952.9$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.4556851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over50c906$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45338353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over50c906$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45356253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc279…6465backed Under49c785.18$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.744250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over50c698$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3491,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over56c689$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.434,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over50c604$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3021,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30066050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over50c582.8$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.41,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked Over50c582.8$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.411751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb68…4ef3backed Under49c469.95$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.165543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over50c453$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.587750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under51c432$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.3255653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over49c338$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.392,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15040447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7f…d002backed Over50c292.68$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.343847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over50c268.86$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.12,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under51c265$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1544949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe66f…0f3ebacked Over50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Under50c206$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1039446.8%44 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over50c200$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10123255.2%128 W · 104 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over51c196$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.041,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over50c138$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6954642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over50c133$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.573653%390 W · 346 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1872…1962backed Over50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511850%9 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Over57c101.06$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4647358.4%276 W · 197 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.12,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4826444.3%117 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under31c95.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.188,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over49c83.78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7399447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8151…74eebacked Over50c81.96$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.982240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c96…0a39backed Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6315352.3%80 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011550.4%58 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over52c77.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.331,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over58c73.1$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.751,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Under49c71.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516250.6%82 W · 80 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Over50c67.31$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.663751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8599…ad67backed Over50c64.86$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.433342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over50c64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3212752%66 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c62.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under48c62.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8642448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over50c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2188247.7%421 W · 461 L+3.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over52c58.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.023,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under49c51.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0131258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Over50c50.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3220654.4%112 W · 94 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1465…e0dbbacked Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.514544.8%65 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…c856backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd3…99b2backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over54c49.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.11,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Over50c46.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.230554.4%166 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under50c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.534846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over51c40.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.817248.6%35 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Over57c39.05$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6140658.4%237 W · 169 L+2.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x29de…d9e6backed Over57c39.05$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7955259.6%329 W · 223 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Over50c36.72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.369755.7%54 W · 43 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed Over50c35.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.767565.3%49 W · 26 L+10.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Over58c35.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.825053.2%133 W · 117 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under52c33.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6425355.7%141 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over51c31.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.482,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.92147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Over50c28.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3321152.6%111 W · 100 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Over50c27.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5915841.8%66 W · 92 L-12.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over52c24.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.621547%101 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over72c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4679955.9%447 W · 352 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.