MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4953dcc504b091c757cccb58dbe28780d994b4f0455aaf3d4bc7c593279e6019
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Detroit Tigers, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 44,444$18,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,222.02 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 28,122$16,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,529.92 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 16,361$9,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,708.1 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 1,818$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.89 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 1,455$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.45 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 1,121$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.46 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers | 33c | 927.5$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.16 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 781.67$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.27 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 682.82$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.3 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago White Sox | 67c | 602$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.66 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Detroit Tigers | 7c | 476$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 448.33$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.85 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 352.12$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.37 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811a…9a3cbacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 332.85$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 70c | 311.5$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 264.28$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.19 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Chicago White Sox | 67c | 261.88$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.01 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 251.81$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 234.23$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 184.83$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 165.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.73 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 145$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Chicago White Sox | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 117.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Chicago White Sox | 59c | 94.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 93.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 75.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 71.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 64c | 71.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 67c | 63.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 56.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641d…eeedbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 44.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ef…34cabacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 42.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Chicago White Sox | 63c | 36.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb59…6552backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…8cdbbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 31.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 29.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersChicago White Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 12.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 13.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.