WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1787c6187bb3a4ce4fbe718034e36301aa15746596023ffbbbd9290ff2054c5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Feverof Atlanta Dream, Indiana Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1681…5032backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 8,762$4,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,376.42 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 5,885$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.79 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 3,272$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.98 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 3,120$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 2,786$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Atlanta Dream | 43c | 2,106$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 2,055$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.05 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…4797backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 1,477$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.45 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Fever | 60c | 1,210$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.16 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…2cbabacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 798$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.04 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Indiana Fever | 55c | 782.27$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.27 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 753.27$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.47 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 742.3$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.88 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 609.31$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.84 | 136 | 61.8%84 W · 52 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 581.23$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.49 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 520.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.72 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 493.53$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.93 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 468.17$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.98 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 462.08$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.8 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 452.93$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.34 | 144 | 45.1%65 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 408.16$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…df7fbacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 391.84$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.92 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 314.28$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 369 | 50.9%188 W · 181 L | +16.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f04…ea38backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Atlanta Dream | 47c | 275.96$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.74 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Indiana Fever | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 249.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 217.42$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 200.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 198.6$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 156$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 101.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Indiana Fever | 46c | 90.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 88.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 82.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…4fdbbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…1755backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Atlanta Dream | 37c | 77.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Atlanta Dream | 45c | 70.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Indiana Fever | 67c | 70.53$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Indiana Fever | 64c | 66.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 62.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Indiana Fever | 67c | 61.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…ac3dbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 58.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Atlanta Dream | 45c | 52.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 50.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Dream | 45c | 48.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 48.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 46.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Indiana Fever | 62c | 45.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…4338backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 41.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…4e03backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…c69abacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 37.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Indiana Fever | 57c | 37.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 32.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 28.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Atlanta Dream | 47c | 21.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 20.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Indiana Fever | 69c | 15.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta DreamIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 187.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 188.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 189.5Under won
- Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.