TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 187.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$183,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,020

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,637 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under50c107,285$53,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,715.358937.1%33 W · 56 L-8.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over50c102,203$51,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,101.5778548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under51c12,475$6,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,062.731369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+33.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0002055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under49c10,000$4,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,077.352646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c8,530$4,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,283.681,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over51c5,538$2,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,809.1528647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over51c5,066$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,583.6636154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008447.6%40 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Over48c3,500$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6805541.8%23 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Under51c3,020$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.810463.5%66 W · 38 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over51c2,152$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.5216450%82 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over49c2,115$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.3526953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over49c1,960$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.9340550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over47c1,890$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.285341.5%22 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under61c1,642$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.855255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed Over1c1,629$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over39c1,618$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.9250952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over51c1,600$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.9913742.3%58 W · 79 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over23c1,310$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.8137141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under68c1,280$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.4813256.8%75 W · 57 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over52c1,054$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.0299548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over50c1,027$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.3132049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under49c1,007$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.6819446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f93…a687backed Over46c937.84$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.093231.3%10 W · 22 L-6.8wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-40.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under60c861.82$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.8632150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over26c793.1$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1944915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc638…e298backed Over54c758.35$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.14245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed Under71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.235158.8%30 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over28c702.02$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.991,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c7…cd28backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-52.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc306…accdbacked Under50c551.01$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.514456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c546$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.4612751.2%65 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under63c526.05$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.318053.8%43 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over49c513.55$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.3813249.2%65 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under47c497.51$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.6834726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over51c497$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.475657.1%32 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over50c400.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under67c400$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13415741.4%65 W · 92 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1966544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under61c382.88$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6212661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Under58c343.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.34633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Over48c324.35$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.699140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Over48c322.78$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.698146.9%38 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c300$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.526247.7%125 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Over35c295.34$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.936845.6%31 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c285.39$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5532540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over48c275.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8630734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c272$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.7238650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under49c256.9$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0232750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over47c256$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3292248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under64c232.5$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.71553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1c…d47dbacked Over39c215.42$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-37.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ae…3a89backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Over21c200$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.69251.1%47 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a1…a119backed Under51c195.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.315850%29 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under51c178.37$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.637650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over22c164$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.281637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.525949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.251163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7283748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Under63c146.12$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.392560%15 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfcb…a745backed Over50c140.1$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Over51c131.34$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9813850.7%70 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over22c123.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6938645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.227049.6%134 W · 136 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd34…7f2abacked Over10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1240%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under54c116$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2410454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Under68c112.05$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Over49c110$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.94461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c105.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7189349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-58.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Under67c98.82$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Under51c98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.882365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under79c87.96$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2128140.6%114 W · 167 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd20c…5031backed Over48c86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.283351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Over41c79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.185759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over49c76.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.327241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f7…3ea6backed Under50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4da5…7131backed Under71c74.65$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over53c71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7730649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under51c67.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0726054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under50c66.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1432346.7%151 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under50c64.12$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0613048.5%63 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under77c61.33$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.928962.9%56 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under79c60.3$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8813355.6%74 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013348.1%64 W · 69 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16b6…867fbacked Under50c59.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Over42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under51c58.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5817343.9%76 W · 97 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Over50c51.58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.99345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over54c50.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5336750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.631758.8%10 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick72cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over25c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.426147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Over50c49.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under79c48.83$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1919257.3%110 W · 82 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.