WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 189.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28d3cfeaaf2d80af364a1d85c3afe17eaad550dd1afcc434673cab410b04046c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 2,851$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.34 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 49c | 2,598$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.56 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 19c | 2,247$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.85 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 1,627$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.59 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 51c | 1,106$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.9 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 57c | 1,056$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.94 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 43c | 1,008$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.26 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 828.42$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.72 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 515.32$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.06 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Under | 57c | 353.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.74 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 44c | 275.87$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.46 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Over | 5c | 244.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 45c | 207.03$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…7f2abacked Over | 10c | 202.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 187.49$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…172ebacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 44c | 75.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 74.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 44c | 50.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8513…7d41backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d071backed Under | 51c | 49.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Under | 51c | 40.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 40.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…3dc9backed Under | 57c | 35.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 79c | 31.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…0e20backed Over | 50c | 29.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 57c | 28.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd400…28b8backed Under | 54c | 21.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 189.5this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta DreamIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 187.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 188.5Under won
- Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.