WNBA · resolved market
Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaba13abe701a58d698258fa518ac14b9cbf6d5f505a6601c1b98311dd010499
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes | 3c | 381$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Yes | 34c | 379.2$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.28 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…1cf7backed Yes | 35c | 302.12$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Yes | 35c | 300$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…968dbacked No | 65c | 235.79$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897c…1c43backed Yes | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 65c | 136.79$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 66c | 121.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked No | 64c | 119.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…4874backed No | 66c | 110$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked Yes | 38c | 81.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 34c | 62.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 67c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…0b63backed No | 61c | 33.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.5this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta DreamIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 187.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 188.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 189.5Under won
- Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.