WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 188.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a99aff80bf3f03da0f41f323d7e39cc6c83264a78aef6833eaa9b6328558b3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 52c | 32,615$16,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,655.31 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 18,242$8,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,740.95 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 48c | 7,658$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,642.03 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 48c | 4,463$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.47 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 54c | 2,727$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.58 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Over | 48c | 1,442$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.39 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 1,399$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.76 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Over | 47c | 1,147$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 1,031$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.5 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb1…e05ebacked Over | 48c | 793.75$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Over | 46c | 576$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.96 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 47c | 531$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Under | 52c | 525$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 432.37$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.39 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 48c | 423$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.04 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 24c | 393.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 76c | 360.24$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 310.57$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 50c | 305.63$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.82 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 283$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.84 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 47c | 273.17$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.04 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…ec19backed Under | 51c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 48c | 186.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 48c | 182$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 48c | 180.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Over | 40c | 179.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 48c | 169$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…be99backed Over | 53c | 158.68$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 71c | 133.06$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 48c | 101.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 53c | 77.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 46c | 76.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 72.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b6…867fbacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 48c | 56.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 46.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 38.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f75…4ba1backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 48c | 36.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 48c | 28.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 48c | 26.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 75c | 23.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 78c | 22.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 188.5this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta DreamIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 187.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 189.5Under won
- Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.