WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d9c1bf67b0bd054086256f1e49b3e0e58d0eb280d08ad2b3bb0a0d9fd12662f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Feverof Atlanta Dream, Indiana Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 3,120$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.51 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 2,019$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.96 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 1,534$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.18 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…3f54backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 918.89$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.26 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Indiana Fever | 55c | 917.35$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.88 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 808.29$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.16 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 635.9$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.31 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 488.67$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.32 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 423$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.68 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Indiana Fever | 54c | 341.8$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.03 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 312.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.77 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 291.79$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.06 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 289.56$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.07 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 254.15$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 250.6$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 249.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Indiana Fever | 63c | 199.97$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 181.12$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 176.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 172.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 172.8$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 166.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Atlanta Dream | 33c | 126$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 112$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Indiana Fever | 57c | 109$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Atlanta Dream | 40c | 104.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 97.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d071backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 71.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 66.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Atlanta Dream | 41c | 65.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 58.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Indiana Fever | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 47.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 46.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Indiana Fever | 76c | 44.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 42.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 39.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 37.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Atlanta Dream | 37c | 36.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 33.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atlanta Dream | 46c | 29.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 29.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 27.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db8…d737backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 27.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 24.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Indiana Fever | 58c | 23.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta DreamIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 187.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 188.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 189.5Under won
- Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.