MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x520181da17ead2e12ff65d0d5de056ce66ea904e2a4dced95b15f80f344bef4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 91,311$47,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,066.39 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 49,909$25,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,115.3 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 37,639$18,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,217.55 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Under | 50c | 29,964$14,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,986.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over | 53c | 24,547$13,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,536.95 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 48c | 23,654$11,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,330.41 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 13,278$6,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,352.65 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 11,110$5,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,321.04 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 6,131$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.7 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 6,030$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,216.95 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 48c | 4,800$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 4,432$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.1 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 48c | 3,904$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 2,696$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.03 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Over | 53c | 2,520$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.4 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 48c | 1,894$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.24 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Under | 48c | 1,894$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.24 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 48c | 1,894$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.24 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 48c | 1,793$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.64 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 51c | 1,511$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.34 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 1,502$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 53c | 1,313$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.09 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 1,293$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.92 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Over | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.07 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 67c | 1,124$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.27 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 47c | 1,002$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.94 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 48c | 975$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 48c | 947.13$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.62 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 47c | 823.21$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.91 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 47c | 821.94$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.31 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Over | 51c | 778.5$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.25 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 759.3$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.39 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 53c | 723.43$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.01 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Under | 48c | 606.48$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.11 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Over | 49c | 572.53$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 48c | 527.49$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.2 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 49c | 510$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 34c | 486.39$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.1 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Over | 53c | 450$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 49c | 449.12$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.07 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 47c | 408.89$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.29 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 47c | 394.82$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.84 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 54c | 357.04$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.24 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 31c | 307.49$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.15 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 73c | 305.14$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.23 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed Under | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 33c | 281.09$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.59 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 48c | 279.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.09 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…2bedbacked Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 229.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Under | 49c | 218.4$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 48c | 195.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.7 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Under | 48c | 192.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…d954backed Under | 49c | 179.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 66c | 179.18$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.26 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 47c | 173.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.71 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 48c | 163.95$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 65c | 154.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…f040backed Under | 10c | 149.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 47c | 143.23$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 72c | 137.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 137$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 49c | 132.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 172 | 45.9%79 W · 93 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 48c | 124$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…0f33backed Over | 47c | 120.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 56c | 119.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Over | 53c | 117.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 50c | 117.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Under | 57c | 111$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Under | 48c | 104.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18cd…b710backed Under | 48c | 102.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 19c | 88.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Over | 57c | 87.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…1306backed Under | 48c | 87.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle MarinersDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.