TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,315 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under59c47,888$28,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,812.451,38650.6%702 W · 684 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over41c16,578$6,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,796.8823738%90 W · 147 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Over41c15,328$6,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,284.481241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked Over39c4,965$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.4810031%31 W · 69 L-14.0wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-35%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over39c4,566$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.431,84849.6%917 W · 931 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over38c4,179$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5884,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c3,657$2,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.238,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Over42c2,756$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.7682042.6%349 W · 471 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0f…9f36backed Over44c2,655$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under58c2,496$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.41,88453%998 W · 886 L+16.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over42c1,940$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.444,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Under57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3923048.7%112 W · 118 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under57c1,569$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.866250.2%332 W · 330 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under64c1,549$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.643,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Under66c1,392$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.264839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over42c1,178$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4966,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under52c1,148$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.424,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over42c932.78$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.932,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under60c926.06$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.6211,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Over42c900$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.0721449.5%106 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over41c831.57$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.946,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over41c753$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7371253.4%380 W · 332 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under58c736.62$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.12,04439.5%808 W · 1,236 L-24.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over42c736$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.1299924.6%246 W · 753 L-70.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over43c695.95$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.881,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under58c670.65$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.688,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over47c623.86$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3782636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over41c622.78$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.341,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under49c588.78$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.0188656.4%500 W · 386 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over44c568$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9218741.2%77 W · 110 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over32c558.71$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.5912,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Over41c515$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.1529153.6%156 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Over41c515$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.1528452.5%149 W · 135 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21026255.7%146 W · 116 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over41c488.5$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.892,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under56c468.31$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.765,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5e…2ea3backed Over8c436.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9496.1%3 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over43c414.94$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.426036.7%22 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over43c400$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17147552%247 W · 228 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over42c366.73$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.032,58861.5%1,591 W · 997 L+72.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over43c365$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.952,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under54c335.96$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.71,93941.2%799 W · 1,140 L-30.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over43c255.83$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.013,84142.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under57c245.61$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6181657.1%466 W · 350 L-2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017752.5%93 W · 84 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over43c237.37$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0748148.6%234 W · 247 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c0…b200backed Under44c211.7$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.553652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Under57c209.82$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2226245.8%120 W · 142 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under11c203.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.783,46051.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L+107.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Over41c165.85$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6831849.7%158 W · 160 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over41c163.52$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0419248.4%93 W · 99 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under64c157.9$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7210,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6999947.5%475 W · 524 L-3.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over33c115.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1523240.9%95 W · 137 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over44c105$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9259534.5%205 W · 390 L-22.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under71c100.41$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1233148.6%161 W · 170 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3517…5862backed Under72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.859154.9%50 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3353238.5%205 W · 327 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Under59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4128245.7%129 W · 153 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Under58c90.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.216256.5%35 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over42c84.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.657551.7%297 W · 278 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over46c84.24$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7567653.1%359 W · 317 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over43c83.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.451,21953.9%657 W · 562 L+32.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under58c75.6$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8647752.8%252 W · 225 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ae…3a89backed Over46c72.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.284257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over42c72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2480255%441 W · 361 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over42c72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2436650.8%186 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under58c70.69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6948445.9%222 W · 262 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Under53c69.29$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3522949.8%114 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over35c66.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5273355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over43c65.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3835747.6%170 W · 187 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed Under58c64.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.519549.5%47 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over39c60.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.711,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under41c58.63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.591,94753.1%1,033 W · 914 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over34c57.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.479,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Over43c53.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0441048.3%198 W · 212 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over43c50.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7247056.6%266 W · 204 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.583854.7%458 W · 380 L+29.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under54c49.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.482,54645.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L-74.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Under24c48.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Over41c46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.869255.4%51 W · 41 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over42c44.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.812,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Over34c44.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Over38c41.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.714351%73 W · 70 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over36c41.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0452750.1%264 W · 263 L+19.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under48c40.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.813453.7%72 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Over42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Over46c35.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2434355.4%190 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under57c35.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0896349%472 W · 491 L-39.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf1…7cb7backed Over43c33.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.253342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under54c30.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.041,21250%606 W · 606 L+5.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Over41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.33855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7319…c664backed Over43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.930928.5%88 W · 221 L-46.7wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-38.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over42c29.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3167444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under61c29.01$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.248,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00c5…b5e9backed Over46c27.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.627258.3%42 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Over42c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9228851.4%148 W · 140 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d2d…2be7backed Over59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.992133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+65.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over42c24.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.421,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.