MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x217ff18422ff19508a18405dcf173004377753772721cafbd8484f8d7b2703b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 59c | 47,888$28,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,812.45 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 41c | 16,578$6,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,796.88 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Over | 41c | 15,328$6,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,284.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Over | 39c | 4,965$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.48 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -14.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 39c | 4,566$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.43 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 38c | 4,179$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 3,657$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.23 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Over | 42c | 2,756$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.76 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…9f36backed Over | 44c | 2,655$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 58c | 2,496$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.4 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 1,940$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.44 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Under | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 57c | 1,569$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.8 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 64c | 1,549$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.64 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Under | 66c | 1,392$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.26 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 1,178$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 52c | 1,148$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.42 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 42c | 932.78$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.93 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 60c | 926.06$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.62 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Over | 42c | 900$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.07 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 831.57$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.94 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 41c | 753$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.73 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 58c | 736.62$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.1 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 42c | 736$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.12 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 43c | 695.95$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.88 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 58c | 670.65$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.68 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 47c | 623.86$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.37 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 41c | 622.78$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.34 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 49c | 588.78$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.01 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 44c | 568$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 558.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.59 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 41c | 515$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.15 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 41c | 515$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.15 | 284 | 52.5%149 W · 135 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 488.5$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.89 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 468.31$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.76 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Over | 8c | 436.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over | 43c | 414.94$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.42 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 43c | 400$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 475 | 52%247 W · 228 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 42c | 366.73$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.03 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 43c | 365$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.95 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 54c | 335.96$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 43c | 255.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 43c | 237.37$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.07 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…b200backed Under | 44c | 211.7$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.55 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Under | 57c | 209.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 11c | 203.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.78 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Over | 41c | 165.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 318 | 49.7%158 W · 160 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 41c | 163.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 64c | 157.9$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 33c | 115.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 44c | 105$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 595 | 34.5%205 W · 390 L | -22.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 71c | 100.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…5862backed Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 532 | 38.5%205 W · 327 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 282 | 45.7%129 W · 153 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 58c | 90.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 42c | 84.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 46c | 84.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 43c | 83.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 58c | 75.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 477 | 52.8%252 W · 225 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ae…3a89backed Over | 46c | 72.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 42c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 802 | 55%441 W · 361 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 42c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 366 | 50.8%186 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 58c | 70.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 484 | 45.9%222 W · 262 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 53c | 69.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 35c | 66.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 43c | 65.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Under | 58c | 64.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 39c | 60.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 41c | 58.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 34c | 57.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 43c | 53.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 43c | 50.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 838 | 54.7%458 W · 380 L | +29.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 54c | 49.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 24c | 48.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Over | 41c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 42c | 44.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Over | 34c | 44.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Over | 38c | 41.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 36c | 41.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 48c | 40.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 46c | 35.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 343 | 55.4%190 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Over | 43c | 33.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 54c | 30.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 42c | 29.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 61c | 29.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Over | 46c | 27.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Over | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 42c | 24.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle MarinersDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.