MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f5b41929cc7af5e4285b8f0897f20a30e25e8b864bafaa291f1dd3e9de6e6c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 56c | 105,210$58,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,292.59 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over | 44c | 70,853$31,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,289.24 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 17,045$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 44c | 14,426$6,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,347.44 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 44c | 14,084$6,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,205.96 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 56c | 12,919$7,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,684.88 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Over | 44c | 6,290$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.6 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 43c | 5,333$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.34 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 4,278$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 56c | 3,570$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.8 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 67c | 2,515$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.71 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 13c | 2,090$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.2 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 57c | 1,960$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 44c | 1,324$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.56 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 56c | 1,253$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.32 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 63c | 1,177$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.45 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 44c | 1,159$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.96 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 56c | 1,091$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.06 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 1,036$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.71 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 44c | 1,007$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.08 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 56c | 974.99$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 68c | 923.08$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.39 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 796.78$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 34c | 569.79$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.55 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 44c | 568$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 43c | 417.24$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.61 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 77c | 360.95$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 57c | 331$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.51 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 327.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 67c | 325.63$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.75 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 44c | 278.04$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.34 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 54c | 269.89$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 78c | 261.54$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 67c | 255.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Over | 47c | 240.19$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 234.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 44c | 210.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 59c | 186.86$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Under | 56c | 182.39$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Under | 56c | 178$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 65c | 176.92$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Under | 65c | 173.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 24c | 158$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 153.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 22c | 145$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 56c | 133$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 67c | 130.48$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 67c | 130.48$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 44c | 129.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 33c | 127.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Over | 44c | 126.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 56c | 116.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 44c | 114.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 9c | 114$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 41c | 109.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f3…b21cbacked Under | 64c | 109.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 41c | 100.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…5862backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 45c | 89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 44c | 86.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 36c | 86.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Over | 22c | 84.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 44c | 78.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 63c | 78.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 63c | 78.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Over | 44c | 74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 56c | 71.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 45c | 69.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 55c | 68.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Over | 44c | 66.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 59c | 61.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 57c | 55.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 44c | 49.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 44c | 47.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Over | 47c | 44.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Under | 54c | 40.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 68c | 34.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 53c | 31.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 57c | 30.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Under | 53c | 24.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 43c | 24.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 57c | 23.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Under | 56c | 22.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…4e4fbacked Under | 69c | 21.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…86b1backed Under | 66c | 17.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.