CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0716f1030ed5281e063a4161e72582ccf98ba59f43f3daf02fb824a47d8b3157
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof 1WIN, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked 1WIN | 45c | 3,632$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.46 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 2,234$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 1,122$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.03 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 626.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.13 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 587$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.87 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 1WIN | 48c | 550$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 525.22$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 500$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.88 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Virtus.pro | 16c | 376.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Virtus.pro | 9c | 364.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro | 9c | 327.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 294.64$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Virtus.pro | 4c | 261.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1WIN | 62c | 232.83$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 224.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Virtus.pro | 6c | 212.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 174$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 165.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Virtus.pro | 12c | 137.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Virtus.pro | 14c | 117.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Virtus.pro | 10c | 106.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Virtus.pro | 13c | 100.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 97.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 76.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 68.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 52.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed 1WIN | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed 1WIN | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d8…4a48backed 1WIN | 70c | 23.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.