CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ab8c2ae39032a5d2aa733ab770cabf1e95f122dfb42ab4ee8dfb7048f7761b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof Virtus.pro, 1WIN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Virtus.pro | 3c | 5,879$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.87 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,043$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.96 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 1WIN | 70c | 848.73$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.62 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 1WIN | 61c | 497.87$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.17 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Virtus.pro | 4c | 366$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Virtus.pro | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed 1WIN | 70c | 50.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed 1WIN | 70c | 33.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked 1WIN | 73c | 30.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed 1WIN | 70c | 28.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed 1WIN | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed 1WIN | 70c | 24.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9444…048ebacked 1WIN | 70c | 16.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…6454backed 1WIN | 73c | 16.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed 1WIN | 70c | 15.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.