CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cfe10e3533555c92a43c02ac407b405a1d64d933397823511529b067d674033
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 50c | 1,352$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.19 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 47c | 1,020$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.58 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 40c | 990$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.5 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Under | 43c | 776.2$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.4 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 43c | 661.67$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.08 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 44c | 458.28$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.56 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 61c | 402.49$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.34 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 40c | 402$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.52 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Over | 52c | 384.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.85 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 43c | 383.52$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Under | 39c | 271.2$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 45c | 235.93$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.49 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 58c | 159.27$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 36c | 132.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 41c | 93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 13c | 89.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 69c | 83.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 42c | 43.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Under | 49c | 35.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 39c | 29.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 45c | 28.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Under | 62c | 28.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.