CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8956043ef09903b379f1e1da89cb1f9df5fd8f0aafe25302d7e87b3e4b1e9088
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NEW VISIONof Lilmix, NEW VISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix | 37c | 854.74$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.14 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed NEW VISION | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…8dcfbacked Lilmix | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +10.2wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Lilmix | 41c | 485.35$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.01 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed NEW VISION | 57c | 405.3$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.28 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lilmix | 21c | 364$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NEW VISION | 71c | 228.43$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Lilmix | 43c | 202.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NEW VISION | 72c | 189.22$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed NEW VISION | 58c | 172$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NEW VISION | 74c | 140.2$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed NEW VISION | 74c | 135.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Lilmix | 26c | 125$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Lilmix | 36c | 119$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lilmix | 21c | 116.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked NEW VISION | 59c | 116$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed NEW VISION | 58c | 109.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Lilmix | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…a946backed Lilmix | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Lilmix | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed NEW VISION | 79c | 67.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lilmix | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed Lilmix | 51c | 58.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NEW VISION | 79c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed NEW VISION | 79c | 40.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked NEW VISION | 69c | 34.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed NEW VISION | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 200 | 67%134 W · 66 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed NEW VISION | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 163 | 63.2%103 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Lilmix | 36c | 28.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed NEW VISION | 70c | 28.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked NEW VISION | 55c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…fcdfbacked NEW VISION | 73c | 27.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NEW VISION | 64c | 19.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed NEW VISION | 79c | 19.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION - Map 1 WinnerNEW VISION won
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION - Map 2 WinnerNEW VISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.