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Tennis · resolved market

Brescia: Xiyu Wang vs Mayar Sherif

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mayar Sherifof Xiyu Wang, Mayar Sherif
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$513,756
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$522,521

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,756 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Xiyu Wang30c58,833$17,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,468.969,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Mayar Sherif44c22,672$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,671.7642131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Mayar Sherif72c19,711$14,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,479.754,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8546…35b8backed Mayar Sherif47c13,197$6,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,984.0821460.3%129 W · 85 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Xiyu Wang27c10,938$2,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,958.383,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Xiyu Wang56c9,636$5,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,354.56,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Xiyu Wang32c8,919$2,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.711,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Xiyu Wang56c8,772$4,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,956.184,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Xiyu Wang58c6,000$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,509.792,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Xiyu Wang16c4,938$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.953,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Mayar Sherif36c3,768$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.9913029.2%38 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Xiyu Wang11c3,100$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33211637.1%43 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Xiyu Wang36c2,740$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.821,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Mayar Sherif53c2,092$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.788552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Mayar Sherif79c1,633$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.252,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Xiyu Wang24c1,630$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.071,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Mayar Sherif71c1,311$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.444,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Mayar Sherif80c1,014$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.695,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Xiyu Wang36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36046544.3%206 W · 259 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Mayar Sherif61c919.75$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.1394140.6%382 W · 559 L-31.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Mayar Sherif38c918.42$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.4279855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Xiyu Wang50c909$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.054,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Xiyu Wang61c888.49$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.9828048.9%137 W · 143 L-14.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Xiyu Wang49c658.98$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.452,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Mayar Sherif55c639.88$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.881,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Xiyu Wang2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231936.4%116 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Xiyu Wang64c560.36$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.631,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed Mayar Sherif36c550.32$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.325545.5%25 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Xiyu Wang31c511.39$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.071,96043.8%858 W · 1,102 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd231…633cbacked Xiyu Wang67c499.99$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.996058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Mayar Sherif72c489.29$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3896945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Xiyu Wang59c477.83$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.124,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Xiyu Wang53c470.5$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.282,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Mayar Sherif33c441.15$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.573,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Xiyu Wang49c429.41$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.812,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Xiyu Wang47c418$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.336,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Xiyu Wang10c409.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.159721.8%130 W · 467 L+2.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Mayar Sherif33c396.23$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.475,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda6f…2874backed Xiyu Wang52c375.29$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Xiyu Wang47c341$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.55,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Mayar Sherif37c339.62$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.071,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Xiyu Wang58c309.78$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.112,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Xiyu Wang49c307$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.451445.5%234 W · 280 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x776f…32b7backed Mayar Sherif65c303.75$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.756157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Mayar Sherif48c303.51$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5285749.7%426 W · 431 L+22.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Xiyu Wang10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Mayar Sherif34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19869253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Xiyu Wang61c286.89$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751,12350.3%565 W · 558 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Xiyu Wang14c280$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.669429.8%207 W · 487 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Xiyu Wang39c270$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.379653%422 W · 374 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Mayar Sherif37c267.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.651,19852.4%628 W · 570 L+28.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Mayar Sherif41c252.61$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.0487837.2%327 W · 551 L-2.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3556…af4fbacked Xiyu Wang12c244$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2827724.9%69 W · 208 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Mayar Sherif46c231.43$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.191,83253%971 W · 861 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Mayar Sherif40c220$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13252557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Xiyu Wang24c210.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.911,82446.5%849 W · 975 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Xiyu Wang49c205.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.111,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Xiyu Wang42c205.06$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4899244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Mayar Sherif40c192.12$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.041,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xbe29…69f9backed Mayar Sherif51c190.2$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.22766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb623…37e5backed Xiyu Wang14c184.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed Mayar Sherif70c171.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.439260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Mayar Sherif61c157.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.151,47643.8%647 W · 829 L-26.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Xiyu Wang66c149.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.991,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb6…96d1backed Xiyu Wang67c149.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046565.6%305 W · 160 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed Xiyu Wang67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005345.3%24 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Xiyu Wang36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Mayar Sherif46c117.22$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.424740.1%99 W · 148 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Xiyu Wang65c114.65$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.134,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Mayar Sherif72c106$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1374547.4%353 W · 392 L-28.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Xiyu Wang44c102.44$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.531,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Xiyu Wang60c101.69$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.011,06650.1%534 W · 532 L+48.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9a…0cd4backed Mayar Sherif77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235543.6%24 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe8b…5e62backed Mayar Sherif37c93.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5223932.6%78 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Mayar Sherif34c92.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8890459.5%538 W · 366 L+0.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8bb…7cefbacked Mayar Sherif39c88.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4336743.6%160 W · 207 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Xiyu Wang62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5067852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Xiyu Wang36c78.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.543,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Xiyu Wang65c76.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Mayar Sherif48c73.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5230746.3%142 W · 165 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Xiyu Wang46c71.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Mayar Sherif42c71.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.348442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Mayar Sherif72c69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.321,87759.4%1,115 W · 762 L+8.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed Xiyu Wang17c62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.515420.4%11 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Mayar Sherif34c59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.942,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b2…a6a3backed Mayar Sherif63c53.11$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.84979.6%39 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Xiyu Wang38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020327.1%55 W · 148 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2688…868cbacked Mayar Sherif46c51.43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Mayar Sherif34c50.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4917046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Xiyu Wang46c47.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.843,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Xiyu Wang58c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.395047.7%453 W · 497 L+34.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Mayar Sherif79c44.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.256,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mayar Sherif71c44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.769,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadde…ec24backed Mayar Sherif46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.489948.5%48 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Mayar Sherif32c41.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.237934.2%27 W · 52 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Mayar Sherif33c37.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.381,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Xiyu Wang50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9843750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Mayar Sherif40c33.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1362727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Xiyu Wang33c32.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9279047.5%375 W · 415 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Xiyu Wang36c31.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.351,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.