Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x014acc27ead4e4304577de1cac45240844f2f8f41fa388b972fde9b3cdcd5554
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, InterActive Philippines
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed InterActive Philippines | 21c | 1,852$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.08 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed InterActive Philippines | 9c | 1,452$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.06 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked InterActive Philippines | 2c | 1,099$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked InterActive Philippines | 26c | 1,027$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.87 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed OG | 76c | 999.99$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.3 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked OG | 73c | 823.68$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.06 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked InterActive Philippines | 27c | 741.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed InterActive Philippines | 9c | 616.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked InterActive Philippines | 8c | 562.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked InterActive Philippines | 8c | 524.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked OG | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked InterActive Philippines | 21c | 486.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked InterActive Philippines | 9c | 417.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed OG | 74c | 405.08$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.23 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked InterActive Philippines | 16c | 397.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed OG | 79c | 390.43$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed InterActive Philippines | 19c | 361.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed InterActive Philippines | 18c | 311.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked InterActive Philippines | 6c | 310$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked InterActive Philippines | 14c | 307.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed InterActive Philippines | 8c | 249.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked OG | 76c | 230.26$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked InterActive Philippines | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked InterActive Philippines | 18c | 203.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked InterActive Philippines | 10c | 191.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked InterActive Philippines | 9c | 177.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked InterActive Philippines | 9c | 161$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed OG | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked InterActive Philippines | 20c | 145.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…f519backed InterActive Philippines | 32c | 141.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…a8d1backed InterActive Philippines | 10c | 104.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked InterActive Philippines | 10c | 102.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed InterActive Philippines | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…7caebacked InterActive Philippines | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed InterActive Philippines | 21c | 96.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…b3debacked InterActive Philippines | 25c | 88.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OG | 73c | 76.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed InterActive Philippines | 33c | 74.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked OG | 75c | 70.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked OG | 71c | 68.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked OG | 79c | 56.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed OG | 66c | 49.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked OG | 80c | 41.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed OG | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed OG | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 148 | 68.9%102 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked OG | 73c | 31.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed OG | 74c | 30.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed OG | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…f21cbacked OG | 72c | 23.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked OG | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…7541backed OG | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…8d69backed OG | 79c | 13.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 WinnerOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs InterActive Philippines - Game 2 WinnerOG won
- Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs InterActive Philippines (+1.5)OG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.