Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03acdda620bd00b79034999d350df70caef6c190c16c77ea6ea7f5973a761029
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 60c | 423$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.1 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 45c | 275$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…147abacked Yes | 6c | 274.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked Yes | 22c | 258.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 53c | 189.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 47c | 129.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes | 45c | 117.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 250 | 12.8%32 W · 218 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 11c | 109.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed No | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…3b29backed No | 69c | 72.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd74c…3ae5backed No | 61c | 61.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…c50bbacked No | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 76c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…667ebacked Yes | 26c | 52.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…be73backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…b468backed Yes | 25c | 42.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…e0e3backed Yes | 36c | 41.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…da97backed Yes | 36c | 40.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 341 | 27.3%93 W · 248 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…838abacked No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…4771backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 48c | 24.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 53c | 22.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…55bcbacked Yes | 53c | 19.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.