TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,824
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,438

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,824 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes1c3,640$37 inLost-$36.842719.2%82 W · 345 L+23.3wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes4c412.33$16 inLost-$1662539.5%247 W · 378 L+48.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes10c408.46$41 inLost-$41.2736113.3%48 W · 313 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b34…a646backed Yes60c376.96$226 inLost-$225.961145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55b9…b6a8backed Yes39c332.08$129 inLost-$129.281225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-47.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No45c180$82 inWon+$98.1814864.9%96 W · 52 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb75…f496backed Yes10c146.96$15 inLost-$14.991915.8%3 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+84.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No52c100$52 inWon+$48.338848.5%188 W · 200 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4616…a910backed No75c98.65$74 inWon+$24.3833670.2%236 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd34…17e5backed No59c83.07$49 inWon+$34.081850%9 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No51c49.51$25 inWon+$24.4222160.2%133 W · 88 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9a…4373backed No59c44.15$26 inWon+$18.152532%8 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+92%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f25…8a2fbacked No78c43.65$34 inWon+$9.654528.9%13 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No43c24$10 inWon+$13.5621732.3%70 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c0…6beebacked Yes64c20.25$13 inLost-$13825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x213c…ab63backed No56c20$11 inWon+$8.722128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No77c17.21$13 inWon+$411847.5%56 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.