TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,458
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,458 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x890e…7ec1backed No5c507.26$23 inLost-$23.2940%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes30c340.72$103 inWon+$237.7762539.5%247 W · 378 L+48.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No7c303.61$20 inLost-$20.0312213.9%17 W · 105 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-63.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes22c163.88$36 inWon+$127.5342719.2%82 W · 345 L+23.3wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No76c93$71 inLost-$70.9915455.2%85 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4616…a910backed No77c91.07$70 inLost-$7033670.2%236 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ba8…23a6backed No30c83$25 inLost-$24.92733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No65c75$49 inLost-$48.7118358.5%107 W · 76 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71e2…147abacked Yes30c72.72$21 inWon+$51.261729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d85…726fbacked Yes18c67.85$12 inWon+$55.785942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes16c63.2$10 inWon+$53.171,6251.9%31 W · 1,594 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No74c52.64$39 inLost-$38.9111643.1%50 W · 66 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No33c39.99$13 inLost-$13.3151018.2%93 W · 417 L-89.7wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-49.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x55b9…b6a8backed Yes39c39$15 inWon+$23.981225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-47.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f25…8a2fbacked Yes70c38.2$27 inWon+$11.54528.9%13 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes66c34.6$23 inWon+$11.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x213c…ab63backed Yes32c34.01$11 inWon+$23.262128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No47c30$14 inLost-$14.2212646%58 W · 68 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No65c30$20 inLost-$19.530955%170 W · 139 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No49c24.73$12 inLost-$12.1934039.7%135 W · 205 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.