Tennis · resolved market
Targu Mures: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Gabriel Ghetu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5fe38c537e924ca9da4b6cf96632cf37d3409ed104e5bd35fd80858c2d8178b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgof Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg, Gabriel Ghetu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gabriel Ghetu | 47c | 6,036$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.34 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…9355backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 57c | 3,453$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 74c | 2,254$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.75 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 58c | 1,337$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.14 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 63c | 971.05$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.15 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gabriel Ghetu | 37c | 828.77$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.52 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbd…e1e3backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 64c | 767.61$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.64 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Gabriel Ghetu | 45c | 739.23$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.25 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 75c | 673.43$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.88 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 49c | 627.35$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.09 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Gabriel Ghetu | 43c | 575.42$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.94 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Gabriel Ghetu | 30c | 563.68$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.89 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 68c | 363.13$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.68 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 56c | 360.36$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.56 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…1a32backed Gabriel Ghetu | 40c | 284.75$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +17.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Gabriel Ghetu | 44c | 272.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Gabriel Ghetu | 19c | 262.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 74c | 223.77$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Gabriel Ghetu | 42c | 219.68$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.38 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 63c | 199.35$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Gabriel Ghetu | 25c | 195.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Gabriel Ghetu | 44c | 184.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Gabriel Ghetu | 15c | 180.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Gabriel Ghetu | 7c | 170.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Gabriel Ghetu | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 56c | 136.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Gabriel Ghetu | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…e578backed Gabriel Ghetu | 38c | 127.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 55c | 105.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gabriel Ghetu | 31c | 99.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Gabriel Ghetu | 44c | 97.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Gabriel Ghetu | 31c | 82.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Gabriel Ghetu | 36c | 79.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 60c | 76.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 62c | 75.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Gabriel Ghetu | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Gabriel Ghetu | 16c | 69.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Gabriel Ghetu | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Gabriel Ghetu | 44c | 67.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Gabriel Ghetu | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Gabriel Ghetu | 44c | 56.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 60c | 43.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Gabriel Ghetu | 60c | 41.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gabriel Ghetu | 42c | 40.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 55c | 30.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 43c | 30.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Gabriel Ghetu | 43c | 30.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0452…843cbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 57c | 27.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 57c | 23.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…1a30backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 57c | 23.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 69c | 23.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Gabriel Ghetu | 64c | 22.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 52c | 21.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 65c | 20.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f80…cfb3backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 64c | 18.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…133cbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 56c | 18.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…be40backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.