Tennis · resolved market
Targu Mures: Cezar Cretu vs Akira Santillan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a8429fd52756dca2511ada4eb9124ff15da6c7e58ec95b5d929eb249f47d579
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cezar Cretuof Cezar Cretu, Akira Santillan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Akira Santillan | 21c | 3,786$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.64 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Akira Santillan | 5c | 2,083$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…e578backed Cezar Cretu | 76c | 1,400$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.99 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Akira Santillan | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…9c4ebacked Akira Santillan | 14c | 1,136$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Akira Santillan | 11c | 944.86$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.62 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cezar Cretu | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Akira Santillan | 33c | 352.06$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.38 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Akira Santillan | 25c | 332.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Akira Santillan | 35c | 205.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Akira Santillan | 37c | 202.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Cezar Cretu | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Cezar Cretu | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Cezar Cretu | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Cezar Cretu | 79c | 196.89$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Akira Santillan | 12c | 183.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0374…1782backed Akira Santillan | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Akira Santillan | 29c | 154.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Akira Santillan | 16c | 154.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Cezar Cretu | 66c | 137.07$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Cezar Cretu | 77c | 120.53$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Cezar Cretu | 63c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 266 | 40.6%108 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Akira Santillan | 37c | 106.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…4f5fbacked Akira Santillan | 13c | 104.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cezar Cretu | 68c | 100.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Akira Santillan | 28c | 99.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Akira Santillan | 14c | 99.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Akira Santillan | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Akira Santillan | 24c | 87.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Cezar Cretu | 65c | 84.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Akira Santillan | 33c | 81.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Cezar Cretu | 72c | 75.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Akira Santillan | 35c | 71.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Cezar Cretu | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Akira Santillan | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Cezar Cretu | 76c | 57.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Cezar Cretu | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Cezar Cretu | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Cezar Cretu | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Cezar Cretu | 72c | 45.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Cezar Cretu | 74c | 45.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Cezar Cretu | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Akira Santillan | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Cezar Cretu | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Cezar Cretu | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Cezar Cretu | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Cezar Cretu | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Cezar Cretu | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Cezar Cretu | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Cezar Cretu | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Akira Santillan | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Cezar Cretu | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…5f11backed Cezar Cretu | 67c | 34.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Cezar Cretu | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 347 | 29.4%102 W · 245 L | -35.6wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb873…8debbacked Akira Santillan | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 33cpaid | -88%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Akira Santillan | 35c | 29.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Cezar Cretu | 69c | 27.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Cezar Cretu | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cezar Cretu | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Cezar Cretu | 67c | 20.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Cezar Cretu | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…3b6cbacked Cezar Cretu | 71c | 16.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…be40backed Cezar Cretu | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.