Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Suzan Lamens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea40cca6461a05abe24b816a917cfe6b5f8fbec5cc48fff022fc3ea6dbe61d82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maja Chwalinskaof Maja Chwalinska, Suzan Lamens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Maja Chwalinska | 74c | 3,629$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.86 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Suzan Lamens | 26c | 2,619$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.37 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Suzan Lamens | 23c | 2,294$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.4 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Maja Chwalinska | 78c | 1,769$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.08 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Suzan Lamens | 21c | 1,605$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.3 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maja Chwalinska | 77c | 946.43$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.04 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Suzan Lamens | 23c | 844.06$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Suzan Lamens | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Suzan Lamens | 20c | 711.3$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.71 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maja Chwalinska | 76c | 655.24$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Maja Chwalinska | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.14 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Maja Chwalinska | 71c | 492.63$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.86 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…833ebacked Suzan Lamens | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Suzan Lamens | 18c | 410$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Maja Chwalinska | 78c | 394.09$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Maja Chwalinska | 76c | 392$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Suzan Lamens | 11c | 350$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Suzan Lamens | 7c | 285.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 184 | 10.9%20 W · 164 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Suzan Lamens | 20c | 270.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Maja Chwalinska | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Suzan Lamens | 24c | 250.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Suzan Lamens | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Suzan Lamens | 11c | 231.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 130 | 13.8%18 W · 112 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Suzan Lamens | 25c | 213.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Suzan Lamens | 8c | 212$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Suzan Lamens | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Maja Chwalinska | 76c | 198.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Maja Chwalinska | 80c | 188.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Maja Chwalinska | 71c | 183.52$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e75…b009backed Maja Chwalinska | 76c | 175$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Suzan Lamens | 31c | 155.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Maja Chwalinska | 67c | 149.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Maja Chwalinska | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Suzan Lamens | 12c | 132.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Suzan Lamens | 21c | 131.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Suzan Lamens | 24c | 127.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…2149backed Suzan Lamens | 22c | 127$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Suzan Lamens | 23c | 120.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Maja Chwalinska | 73c | 120.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Suzan Lamens | 24c | 119.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902c…b335backed Suzan Lamens | 11c | 111.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Suzan Lamens | 20c | 108.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Suzan Lamens | 22c | 107.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Maja Chwalinska | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Suzan Lamens | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Suzan Lamens | 18c | 95.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Maja Chwalinska | 77c | 95.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Maja Chwalinska | 72c | 80.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Maja Chwalinska | 76c | 79.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Maja Chwalinska | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 179 | 57.5%103 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6249…cee9backed Maja Chwalinska | 77c | 74.77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…41dfbacked Maja Chwalinska | 78c | 74.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Suzan Lamens | 26c | 71.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Suzan Lamens | 23c | 65.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Suzan Lamens | 20c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…de6abacked Maja Chwalinska | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Suzan Lamens | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Maja Chwalinska | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…f20ebacked Maja Chwalinska | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1740…529ebacked Maja Chwalinska | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Suzan Lamens | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdc…770fbacked Maja Chwalinska | 76c | 27.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eac…9b93backed Maja Chwalinska | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…8692backed Maja Chwalinska | 76c | 26.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…535abacked Maja Chwalinska | 70c | 18.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Suzan Lamensthis page
- Set Handicap: Chwalinska (-1.5) vs Lamens (+1.5)Chwalinska won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.