Tennis · resolved market
Darderi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d815eac6b2c938fb89ab01eb853452706560e69b37c790667688c5a3db60fdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 59c | 2,208$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.16 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 40c | 2,106$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.5 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Under | 40c | 645$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 45c | 558.42$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.42 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Under | 40c | 537.5$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 55c | 403.8$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.47 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 40c | 325.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.08 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 40c | 265.13$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.08 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Under | 46c | 258.7$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.7 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 41c | 169.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…030bbacked Over | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 107 | 64.5%69 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Over | 58c | 69.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 42c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…270abacked Under | 40c | 27.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 172 | 42.4%73 W · 99 L | -17.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Darderi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Darderi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Darderi vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Alex de MinaurAlex de Minaur won
- Luciano Darderi vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Darderi vs MinaurMinaur won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)Minaur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.