Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd986d87e81ef23f23f0823bbf7714a1dc20fd4ada024992cf13e853018c014c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gamingof Team Secret Whales, Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Secret Whales | 6c | 3,724$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.48 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 59c | 3,480$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.09 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Secret Whales | 52c | 1,595$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.18 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…2dd4backed Team Secret Whales | 33c | 1,583$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.2 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +16.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Team Secret Whales | 10c | 952.53$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 1,660 | 59.5%987 W · 673 L | +97.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Secret Whales | 62c | 920.96$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.95 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 38c | 736$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.32 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Team Secret Whales | 30c | 647.18$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.55 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Secret Whales | 31c | 549$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.96 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Secret Whales | 24c | 536.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Secret Whales | 37c | 523.44$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 1,536 | 43.8%672 W · 864 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 268 | 56%150 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 36c | 440.89$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.17 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed Team Secret Whales | 10c | 378.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 508 | 44.7%227 W · 281 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 80c | 368.09$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 1,476 | 48.3%713 W · 763 L | +45.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 66c | 365.73$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 696 | 44.4%309 W · 387 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Team Secret Whales | 15c | 343.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Secret Whales | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked Team Secret Whales | 11c | 259.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 567 | 44.8%254 W · 313 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Team Secret Whales | 63c | 248.39$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.49 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Secret Whales | 27c | 228.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 69c | 226.26$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Secret Whales | 30c | 195.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Team Secret Whales | 65c | 186.71$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.36 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Team Secret Whales | 64c | 184.67$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.19 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Team Secret Whales | 36c | 151.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 991 | 47.1%467 W · 524 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…d971backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 77c | 127.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 670 | 57.5%385 W · 285 L | +24.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Secret Whales | 17c | 90.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1,622 | 46.7%757 W · 865 L | -25.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Team Secret Whales | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Secret Whales | 22c | 88.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…3cbabacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 69c | 59.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 226 | 66.4%150 W · 76 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Secret Whales | 33c | 57.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 2,336 | 40.4%943 W · 1,393 L | -58.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 342 | 35.7%122 W · 220 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…afc3backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 74c | 54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…0e68backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 37c | 48.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Secret Whales | 26c | 47.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Secret Whales | 34c | 41.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 2,903 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L | -117.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Secret Whales | 31c | 41.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 44c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 60c | 27.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +24.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 51c | 24.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 51c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Team Secret Whales | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Team Secret Whales | 56c | 18.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…19eebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 65c | 16.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…2159backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5)Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.