TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7bcc…0e68

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 51 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 51 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT6533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.79
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.66
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.62
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.64
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.7
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$149.82
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.46
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+192.4%+$26.4
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$57.72
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$50.37
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$54.45
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.76
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$7.44
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.07
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.15
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.35
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.03
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.03
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.84
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$31.82
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2412.5%3 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-71.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.94
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.14
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.82
LoL: Meavedron vs BRUTE - Game 1 Winnerbacked BRUTE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$30.31
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.76
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.82
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$31.23
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.47
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.33
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.11
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.39
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.84
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.92
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.3
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$16.31
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.43
All 24 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-50.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ningbo Rockets vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$47.84
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.45
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.72
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$97.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.