Euroleague · resolved market
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Fujian Sturgeons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2849a7f46d4dfe5306ad362df6f8a40ac97c4c4f47060f5e146be86bae005b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinof Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin, Fujian Sturgeons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fujian Sturgeons | 21c | 5,213$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.55 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 74c | 5,187$3,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.98 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fujian Sturgeons | 32c | 1,639$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.98 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 78c | 1,451$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.29 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8e…f961backed Fujian Sturgeons | 43c | 1,416$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 69c | 1,283$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.15 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 9c | 1,172$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.12 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 29c | 806.68$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.21 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 15c | 793.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.19 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Fujian Sturgeons | 28c | 673.33$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.95 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fujian Sturgeons | 20c | 624.24$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 14c | 600$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 24c | 596.16$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.29 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 51c | 566.63$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fujian Sturgeons | 34c | 437.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.26 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 74c | 430.7$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.14 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 78c | 370$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Fujian Sturgeons | 21c | 366.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 69c | 353.79$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fujian Sturgeons | 14c | 322.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Fujian Sturgeons | 26c | 316.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 18c | 283.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…1af9backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 79c | 275.22$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Fujian Sturgeons | 16c | 236.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Fujian Sturgeons | 35c | 228.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 74c | 210.31$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 76c | 206.16$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 50c | 203.1$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 70c | 202.83$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 73c | 202.41$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…1e48backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 71c | 202.26$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…0e68backed Fujian Sturgeons | 28c | 199.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 68c | 192.58$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 30c | 125.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…3d1abacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd26…0574backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 68c | 99.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 80c | 86.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb812…076ebacked Fujian Sturgeons | 38c | 76.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…77b4backed Fujian Sturgeons | 35c | 74.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 15c | 74.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 74c | 66.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 64c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…5f98backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 79c | 54.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 36c | 52.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fujian Sturgeons | 31c | 52.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 65c | 45.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Fujian Sturgeons | 43c | 44.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 71c | 43.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 57c | 41.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 78c | 35.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb7…d873backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 58c | 33.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 80c | 31.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4693…bf61backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 68c | 31.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 60c | 31.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 63c | 30.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5a…9c8bbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fe…0323backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 75c | 21.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…23f8backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 60c | 21.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…f42dbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 72c | 20.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 69c | 20.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 79c | 19.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 73c | 14.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 75c | 14.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 75c | 14.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.