Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf585acbc08764a72f731e7aa19e06d9f9acdba3a6d0020f7cc422f4d37c0ab8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 8c | 4,583$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.27 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 3,823$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.96 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 68c | 2,912$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.38 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 2,530$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.43 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,848$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.01 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 47c | 893.96$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.99 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 733.28$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.32 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…d06ebacked Yes | 23c | 606.8$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a16…a169backed No | 77c | 606.8$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…56efbacked No | 77c | 585.78$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…7b23backed Yes | 23c | 585.78$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555a…6ee2backed Yes | 75c | 443.72$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.3wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 20c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9378…8672backed Yes | 23c | 365.62$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7377…e218backed No | 77c | 365.62$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 353.93$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 25c | 350.02$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.52 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 329.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Yes | 25c | 327.28$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 5c | 301.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 58c | 298.76$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.14 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7614…13b0backed Yes | 24c | 290.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4b…ffacbacked No | 76c | 290.06$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…43f7backed No | 76c | 257.17$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…7a36backed Yes | 24c | 257.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…2dabbacked Yes | 61c | 255.25$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 10c | 235.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Yes | 56c | 207.86$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked No | 47c | 190$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6020…0330backed No | 78c | 171.22$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ac…ef3bbacked Yes | 22c | 171.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 59c | 158.07$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 16c | 156$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes | 15c | 137.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 59c | 122.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 51c | 122.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Yes | 64c | 112.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 25c | 109$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed No | 61c | 107.13$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 36c | 102.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 29c | 96.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 75c | 91.09$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 77c | 87.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 83.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 24c | 78.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 72.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff90…3558backed Yes | 61c | 62.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 24c | 57.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed No | 28c | 52.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…0e68backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 48.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 42.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 39.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 44c | 23.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf229…8583backed Yes | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 76c | 17.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 80c | 16.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c5…87bdbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09?No won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.