Asian League · resolved market
Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebaf5198b93f407dde777c86fd66cc7ad6edce94356ccf891d5e6687602a87e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 34c | 3,305$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.57 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…43fcbacked No | 73c | 2,235$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 1,812$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.37 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 989.33$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.16 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 16c | 899.96$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 69c | 723$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.14 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 28c | 707.67$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 72c | 335.73$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 275.73$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 212.54$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 210.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 207.4$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.08 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 63c | 201.6$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 70c | 191$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 27c | 155.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 25c | 141.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 11c | 140.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked No | 79c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 27c | 70.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 70.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 27c | 66.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 27c | 66.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 27c | 66.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 58.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 27c | 51.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 27c | 51.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 27c | 51.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 27c | 51.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 27c | 51.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 27c | 51.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…0e68backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 27c | 45.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…52dfbacked No | 69c | 40.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 63c | 36.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 38c | 31.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 63c | 23.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed No | 63c | 22.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?this page
- Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-12?Yes won
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.