Tennis · resolved market
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xded8abaa437414700e50805ce65d8b0656e8aa7fe941555507213f5e5564d35f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thiago Agustin Tiranteof Colton Smith, Thiago Agustin Tirante
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Colton Smith | 5c | 13,242$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.45 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colton Smith | 7c | 7,701$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.21 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac7…336cbacked Colton Smith | 37c | 5,258$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.88 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cda…2de5backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 62c | 4,427$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.37 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 67c | 3,696$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.47 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Colton Smith | 36c | 3,016$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.61 | 734 | 53%389 W · 345 L | +36.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Colton Smith | 39c | 2,969$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.74 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 68c | 2,674$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.3 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Colton Smith | 38c | 2,396$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.24 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Colton Smith | 35c | 2,286$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Colton Smith | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Colton Smith | 38c | 2,000$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.95 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Colton Smith | 35c | 1,677$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.88 | 216 | 38%82 W · 134 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 63c | 1,564$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.46 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Colton Smith | 15c | 1,563$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.98 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Colton Smith | 42c | 1,528$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.52 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 62c | 1,226$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.04 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Colton Smith | 19c | 1,115$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.42 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Colton Smith | 38c | 1,084$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.91 | 364 | 34.3%125 W · 239 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colton Smith | 18c | 1,050$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.05 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Colton Smith | 38c | 977.98$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.63 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Colton Smith | 38c | 964.5$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.51 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…adc3backed Colton Smith | 36c | 905.88$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.04 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Colton Smith | 38c | 887.28$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.17 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Colton Smith | 35c | 874.9$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.21 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 76c | 863.59$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.27 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 61c | 826.15$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.96 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Colton Smith | 8c | 764.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Colton Smith | 14c | 721.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Colton Smith | 38c | 658.72$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.32 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6353…777fbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 61c | 657.94$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.73 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Colton Smith | 38c | 650.84$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.27 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 64c | 600$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0004backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 79c | 576.57$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Colton Smith | 39c | 569.33$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.04 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 68c | 566.72$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.93 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 62c | 545.41$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Colton Smith | 33c | 525.66$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.47 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…4153backed Colton Smith | 38c | 492.85$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Colton Smith | 34c | 468.55$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.49 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 65c | 457.89$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Colton Smith | 16c | 437.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Colton Smith | 35c | 409.43$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.63 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Colton Smith | 26c | 402.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 62c | 399.12$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.66 | 248 | 52%129 W · 119 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Colton Smith | 5c | 398.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 62c | 375.61$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.73 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 59c | 354$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.14 | 980 | 55.4%543 W · 437 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 63c | 350.19$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.57 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…d043backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 63c | 345.1$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Colton Smith | 38c | 337.17$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 61c | 323.19$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.04 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Colton Smith | 37c | 322.53$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 63c | 319.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.49 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 62c | 318.02$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.85 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 64c | 308.18$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.94 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…8722backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 67c | 305.33$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 62c | 303.65$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.39 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Colton Smith | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Colton Smith | 3c | 299.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Colton Smith | 13c | 297.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 76c | 296.71$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 64c | 293.85$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 63c | 293.82$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.68 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Colton Smith | 38c | 290.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Colton Smith | 37c | 271$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 404 | 44.1%178 W · 226 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Colton Smith | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 871 | 35.4%308 W · 563 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Colton Smith | 38c | 259.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 77c | 256.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Colton Smith | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 692 | 44.4%307 W · 385 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colton Smith | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Colton Smith | 49c | 249.97$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.49 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Colton Smith | 39c | 214.84$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 62c | 211.48$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 62c | 210.97$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 62c | 210.97$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 61c | 210.07$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 60c | 207.82$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 63c | 202.79$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Colton Smith | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 62c | 198.16$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Colton Smith | 36c | 197.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 64c | 194.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Colton Smith | 38c | 188.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 62c | 169.23$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 198 | 54.5%108 W · 90 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 61c | 167.57$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 61c | 161.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 224 | 65.2%146 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 61c | 159.5$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 62c | 159.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Colton Smith | 39c | 157.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 64c | 154.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 62c | 151.6$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Colton Smith | 33c | 148.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Colton Smith | 31c | 141.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 63c | 139.03$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Colton Smith | 37c | 132.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Colton Smith | 41c | 129.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Colton Smith | 38c | 129.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirantethis page
- Set 1 Winner: Smith vs TiranteTirante won
- Set Handicap: Tirante (-1.5) vs Smith (+1.5)Tirante won
- Smith vs. Tirante: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Smith vs. Tirante: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.